Lastest Poll: Recall leading 62-37%, Arnold 39%, Cruz 29%, Tom 16%

[cspiguy]

CA Governor Recall
9/9/2003

Remove Davis
62%
Keep Davis
37%
Undecided
1%

Data Collected
9/6/03 - 9/8/03

Geography
State of California


Margin of Error
3.7%

Client
KABC-TV Los Angeles
KGTV-TV San Diego
KPIX-TV San Francisco
KXTV-TV Sacramento


CA Governor Replacement
9/9/2003

Schwarzenegger (R)
39%
Bustamante (D)
29%
McClintock (R)
16%
Ueberroth (R)
6%
Huffington (I)
3%
Other
4%
Undecided
3%

Data Collected
9/6/03 - 9/8/03

Geography
State of California

Universe
671 Certain Voters

Margin of Error
3.9%

Client
KABC-TV Los Angeles
KGTV-TV San Diego
KPIX-TV San Francisco
KXTV-TV Sacramento

http://www.surveyusa.com/currentelectionpolls.html


R We being had by the LATIMES and Field guys?

[jos]

1. CRAP poll

Ignore all Survey USA/Rasmussen polls. They are not scientific. It is a computer-generated poll.

[grytpype]

3. Whew!

That's a relief, those number suck major ass.

[cspiguy]

9. whew 2. But Rasmussen is Portrait of America. Survey/USA

I found out is a competitor - still uses computer to poll though.

[nothingshocksmeanymore]

2. Doesn't even state if the polls were registered or likely voters

I read through methodology and could not find it there either. This is a simple opinion poll.

[La Resistance]

4. Same polling coalition that Fox was using a couple of weeks ago

Their numbers were WAY skewed a couple of weeks ago. These results look even more ridiculous. I'd stick with the LA times and field rather than this Faux news supported propaganda.

[CMT]

5. Survey USA is not a good polling source

there polls are pretty unreliable (generally) and they have consistently had higher figures for both Arnold and the recall. No way Arnold leads by ten or the recall by nearly 2-1. I put more faith in the LA Times and Field polls.

[David__77]

6. Poll way off base.

The previous poll from this group a couple weeks ago showed a 16-point Arnie lead, and the one before that a 34-point lead! So, in light of this, the current 10-point lead is nothing! Regardless, the sampling method of "certain voter" is flawed. They're presuming a heavily GOP turnout. In any event, even according to the flawed poll, both the no on recall and yes on Bustamante positions are gaining.

[NewYorkerfromMass]

7. with 100% Latino turnout

I am worried NOT!

[CMT]

10. Field Poll

has Cruz leading Arnold by only ten-points among Latinos--37-27.

[NewYorkerfromMass]

19. but again, the ones who show up to vote are the only ones that count

and that remains true amongst Latinos. GO CRUZ!!!!!!!

[jos]

8. Here's an article about it

from last year.

http://www.politicsnj.com/murphy080602_polling.htm

Some 13-year-old kid watching Terminator could answer the phone and be one of the "voters" questioned!

[phrenzy]

11. How Bad?

CA Governor Replacement
9/9/2003

Schwarzenegger (R)
39%
Bustamante (D)
29%
McClintock (R)
16%
Ueberroth (R)
6%
Huffington (I)
3%
Other
4%
Undecided
3%


Is this REALLY that bad? I mean, if we can assume that the percentage that is left out of these numbers are ALL Davis / No recall votes - than it might be fair to assume that a good portion of those people will do the whole no recall / yes bustamante thing - in order to short circuit the Republican overthrow.

Also, if Bustamante's numbers actually go no/yes - then there is a chance of the recall failing right?

[rocktivity]

12. This is the ONLY poll I've seen that has Arnold leading

The most recent one I saw had the recall rate in the mid fifties and Bustamante with a clear lead.


rocknation

[Snellius]

13. New FOX poll has Bustamante 32% Hulk 27%

Done after Ueberroth, whose votes seem about evenly distributed to the 3 main candidates.

[PROGRESSIVE1]

16. If Faux has the great Bustamante ahead then....

the Survey USA poll is surely a POS!!!


:kick: Fighting Democrats are going to kick some Hulk Ass!!!

[jos]

17. That's the Field Poll

they're reporting.

[JDStutts]

14. Always vote like you're 10 points behind.

I don't believe this bogus poll.
Rasmussen was the worst in 2000.
He had Shrub winning by 6 or 7 points.

If the LA Times is lying it will only make sure Democrats get out the vote in CA. The Repukes couldn't beat Davis 10 months ago. Today they are fighting amonst themselves. The far right will not vote for Rnold and the moderates will not vote for McClintock. Most of them will just stay home if they think their guy can't win. I don't think Davis is going anywhere.

[PROGRESSIVE1]

18. And if I "recall".........

President Gore beat Governor Bush in California by 13 Points!!!


:dem:

[w4rma]

15. Well, whatever the true numbers it's extremely important to GOTV!!! (n/t)

[davidinalameda]

20. the numbers regarding the recall are much closer than that

but I am worried about Bustamonte's campaign

they're in mega damage control since it was reported, mistakenly I believe, that the campaign dropped the "No on Recall" part of his platform

but I received my absentee ballot yesterday and voted against the recall and for Bustamonte!