Late Stock Market Rally Makes 2004 a Winning Year
By JONATHAN FUERBRINGER
As 2004 ended, investors had plenty of reasons to breathe sighs of relief.
The war in Iraq raged on, the Federal Reserve began raising short-term interest rates, oil prices topped $55 a barrel, the presidential election went down to the wire and the stock market spent most of the year in the doldrums, yet the three main market gauges finished up for the year yesterday and are at their highest levels in three and a half years.
Much of the gains for the year came in a powerful postelection rally, and many investors just "think that they dodged a bullet in 2004," said Bob Froehlich, chief investment strategist at Deutsche Asset Management....
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Before the presidential election, the Dow and the Nasdaq were down for the year, while the S.& P. was up just 1.7 percent. The 7.2 percent surge in the Dow after Nov. 1 was the fifth-best postelection rally in a presidential year since 1900 and the best since 1952, according to Ned Davis Research. For the Nasdaq, the 9.9 percent postelection climb was the second best since the index began in 1971 and the strongest such rally since 1992.
The year-end rally has fueled optimism for more of the same in 2005 : stocks up in the high single digits and corporate earnings growing at about the same pace....
http://www.nytimes.com/2005/01/01/business/01stox.html?pagewanted=print&position=