As Bush begins his second term, Tony Blair sees a hopeful 'evolution' in US policy
Timothy Garton Ash
Thursday January 20, 2005
The Guardian
Sitting in his white and blue study at the back of 10 Downing Street, a tired-looking Tony Blair still manages to radiate optimism about the second term of George Bush. There has, he says, been a clear "evolution" of American policy. The prime minister has witnessed this in successive conversations with the president.
"Evolution comes from experience." In a learning process that started with Afghanistan, the administration has come to understand that "in the end, we can take security and military measures against terrorism but ... the best prospect of peaceful coexistence lies in the spread of democracy and human rights".
So has Bush become a multilateralist?
Well, Blair can't speak for the president, but "it is significant, in my view, that he is coming to Europe as his first foreign visit..." And it's obvious that "if you are in the position of trying to spread values - to give people greater freedom and democratic rights - it is better to try and do that with other countries".
But obvious to whom? Does Blair really think that he can get a Bush administration to take seriously his own priorities for Britain's 2005 presidency of the G8 - action on Africa and climate change? Yes. The United States won't sign the Kyoto protocol, but Washington may be persuaded to take some of the steps proposed in the McCain-Lieberman bill, which is currently before the US Congress. On these issues, and on Blair's other top priority - a peace settlement between the Israelis and Palestinians - "it is possible to construct an international agenda that is more consensual, more multilateral than what has gone before".
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