Isabel: Warnings Likely at 11 PM

[goobergunch]

000
WTNT33 KNHC 162354
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ISABEL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  43A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2003
 
...WARNINGS LIKELY AT 11 PM...

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET
SOUTH
CAROLINA TO CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND
ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NORTH BEACH
MARYLAND...AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CHESAPEAKE BAY
FROM
NORTH BEACH NORTHWARD.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN
EFFECT
FOR NORTH OF CHINCOTEAGUE TO LITTLE EGG INLET NEW JERSEY...
INCLUDING DELAWARD BAY.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN
EFFECT
FOR SOUTH OF LITTLE RIVER INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH
CAROLINA.

A TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
OR
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISABEL WAS
LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 71.5 WEST OR ABOUT 545
MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.
 
ISABEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR  8 MPH AND
THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO
LANDFALL.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 275 MILES.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE
HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 956 MB...28.23 INCHES.
 
LARGE OCEAN SWELLS AND DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE BEING
EXPERIENCED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE U.S. SOUTHEAST AND
MID-ATLANTIC
COASTS.  THESE CONDITIONS WILL ALSO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF
THE
THE BAHAMAS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

REPEATING THE 8 PM EDT POSITION...28.2 N... 71.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR  8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...105 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 956 MB.
 
FOR STORM-RELATED INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE
MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE...AND STATEMENTS
FROM
LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT
11 PM EDT.
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE

[Jacobin]

1. Somebody needs to tell these weather folks that their fonts suck

Puts my eyes out trying to read their crap.

No slap at the poster.....just think the fonts they use are godawful

[Nottingham]

2. Wow it looks like it is going to hit on the 30th Parallel

I pray for all the residents! Good Luck! :bounce:

[NewYorkerfromMass]

3. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE

In case you missed it: MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3+shtml/162354.shtml?

[Prisoner_Number_Six]

4. Nasty sh*t ahead for a lot of folks.

[WillyT]

5. Another Way To View And Animate Here:

Link: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconusir.html

Has controls to manipulate graphic.

Anybody gettin ready to evacuate???

[NewYorkerfromMass]

6. Isabel now going thru REINTENSIFICATION

Damn, I learned a new word. Winds have picked up speed again. 95 to 115 knots.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT3+shtml/162100.shtml?

[WillyT]

7. Uh, Oh...

<snip>

ISABEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE
CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST PRIOR TO LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES FROM THE CENTER
...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY USAF RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT IS 957 MB...28.26 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 7 TO 11 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE
COAST.

<snip>

From: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3+shtml/170240.shtml?

...be very careful please...

[Judi Lynn]

8. Ehrlich Declares State of Emergency In Maryland (preparation)

Ehrlich Declares State of Emergency In Maryland
Posted - September 16, 2003 11:07pm


Annapolis (AP) - Governor Ehrlich is declaring a state of emergency.

Ehrlich called the National Guard to active-duty status tonight so troops will be ready when Hurricane Isabel strikes Maryland later this week.

Ehrlich says it's simply a matter of readiness. He says state officials are not expecting the worst from the Category Two storm, but that could change.

The governor adds that the hurricane is still powerful enough to cause major damage and flooding even if it doesn't pick up strength as it crosses the Gulf Stream. He says flooding is biggest concern.
(snip/...)

http://www.wjla.com/news/stories/0903/102877.html