There is speculation on which strategy Turkey will adopt after the elections in Kirkuk (Kerkuk) in the wake of its tough warnings about the Iraqi city.
According to information received by Zaman, Turkish daily, from government sources, it is likely that Ankara will say that it does not recognize the elections in Kirkuk. Comments have been made that intervention by Turkish military forces is still an option that cannot be ignored though it seems unlikely. Deciding to participate in the elections 'to spoil the games played in Kirkuk', the Iraqi Turkmen Front (ITF) is also said to have held talks about on not recognizing the elections. Yunus Bayraktar, a Turkmen member of the Kirkuk District Council noted that they are considering not recognizing the election results because the election committee is not showing the required objectivity.
Turkish general Ilker Basbug, the Deputy Chief of Staff has expressed the Turkish army's anxiety about the security situation in Kirkuk in an announcement last week, saying, "If the result of the Kirkuk elections do not reflect all segments of society, there could be a conflict that would threaten Turkey's security." Following these remarks, Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan gave a tough warning and said: "Any wrong step in Kirkuk could cost very heavily. Those who overlook this will have to pay theprice."
There is speculation of whether Turkey will intervene militarily if events lead towards conflict in Kirkuk, but this possibility is not being considered 'for now' in Ankara. Turkey would prefer to solve the issue through diplomatic channels, but if the result in Kirkuk paves the way for a risk of conflict, then Turkey will prepare its border troops. The sources say that Ankara is not thinking of transferring troops to the region, but is ready to put troops in the border region on alert if the situation worsens.
http://www.turkishweekly.net/news.php?id=3120