Sorry for the size of this, but I can't find the original board. It was on the Home Page, though. Feel free to add that link, if you can.
Iraq turnout has been reported as high as 72%.
Iraq population breakdown and turnout estimate.
Posted by kuozzman
Added to homepage Sun Jan 30th 2005, 07:44 PM ET
Any updated or more specific information would be appreciated.
http://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/geos/iz.ht... Population:
25,374,691 (July 2004 est.)
Age structure:
0-14 years: 40.3% (male 5,198,966; female 5,039,173)
15-64 years: 56.7% (male 7,280,167; female 7,094,688)
65 years and over: 3% (male 357,651; female 404,046) (2004 est.)
Ethnic Groups:
Arab 75%-80%, Kurdish 15%-20%, Turkoman, Assyrian or other 5%
Religions:
Muslim 97% (Shi'a 60%-65%, Sunni 32%-37%), Christian or other 3%
The KC Star reported today that "In addition, Iraq's Sunni Muslim population, which makes up about 20 percent of the nation's 15 million eligible voters, may heed the call of its clerics and boycott the election. The clerics contend that there is too much violence for their supporters to feel safe going to the polls."
So I've read from several sources that estimates are currently that 8 million people voted-1.5 million doing so from outside of Iraq.
So that leaves 6.5Mil out of 15Mil= 43.33% turnout.
"The election in Iraq was a resounding success" - Bush 1/30/05
-Iraqi Turnout Vindicates Bush's Vision, Rice Says (Bloomberg)
-Iraq polls close amid reports of high turnout (Financial Times)
-Iraq poll turnout high (Reuters)
-Iraq poll turnout at least 72 pct (Reuters)
-Voter turnout in Iraq reflects an electorate eager to grasp democracy, U.S. pollsters say (San Francisco Chronicle)
-High Turnout In Iraq Poll Despite Attacks (Sky News)
-Iraqi voter turnout higher than predicted, UN says (ABC News)
matt819 (1000+ posts) Sun Jan-30-05 08:27 PM
Response to Original message
4. Fun with numbers
Let's assume the population figures are correct. That means there are 15,136,552 Iraqis over the age of 15. Voting age is 18. Just for shits and grins, let's take out 1.5 million Iraqis from this mix -- those 15, 16, and 17 years old. That brings the registration-eligible Iraqis to 13,636,552.
If your numbers are right -- 8 million voters, 1.5 million of them expats -- then 6.5 million Iraqis voted in Iraq. That's 47.6%. I have a little hearburn here, though, since NYT and BBC reported last week (probably same source) that only 255,000 Iraqi expats registered to vote. So where's that 1.5 million figure coming from?
Then there's the number of Iraqis registered to vote. I scanned a few articles through a Google search and was unable to find a number of Iraqis registered to vote in Iraq. Maybe that number is around somewhere, maybe not. But take a closer look at the articles asserting 70+% turnout and see if they mention numbers.