Which I will discuss again at the end of this, but...
When I was talking about the 2000 campaign, it was to offer proof to my contention that fact based campaigns can be winning campaigns. If fact based, policy heavy campaigns always loose then Gore would have lost in a landslide. And even if you were right - - that Gore had not embraced the Clinton administration economic record until the last two weeks of the campaign - - it still wouldn't have helped him, because he didn't change his fact heavy, policy heavy campaigning style in the last two weeks.
Part of the problem we have now is that we, like the GOP, have decided that facts are messy things, and it's easier and more satisfying to live in a world where everything is black and white and difficult questions have easy solutions. "If Gore had used Clinton more, he would have won". "If we have better messaging, we'll win 2008 in a landslide". "Nobody will vote for the Republicans in 2006 or 2008 because everybody hates Bush."
Clinton, in 2000 (and still to this day) was only popular with a small part of the electorate. The flip side is that he was (and still is) extremely unpopular with a larger part of the electorate. Here are the actual 2000 exit polls from CNN:
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2000/results/index.epolls.htmlClinton job rating:
Approve: 57%
Disapprove: 41%
Opinion of Clinton as a person:
Favorable: 36%
Unfavorable: 60%
Opinion of Clinton:
Approve/Like: 35%
Approve/Dislike: 20%
Disapprove/Like: 1%
Disapprove/Dislike: 39%
Clinton in history books for:
Leadership: 29%
Scandals: 68%
Clinton scandals were:
Very important: 24%
Somewhat important: 20%
Not too important: 17%
Not important at all: 37%
Reason for your vote:
To support Clinton: 10%
To oppose Clinton: 18%
Clinton not a factor: 70%What this data does not do, unfortunately, is show that the people who had positive views of Clinton were in heavily blue areas - - and the people who had negative views of Clinton were in the swing states. They were the "values voters" that get discussed so much.
Gore did use Clinton in the 2000 campaign, sending him to very blue areas to campaign, and sending him to Arkansas. Would using Clinton "more" have put Gore over the top in another state, making the Florida results moot? I doubt it, both because I've never seen any polling from 2000 that showed "more Clinton" could have improved Gore's standing in New Hampshire, Nevada, West Virginia or Ohio. This is backed up by the fact that every time Clinton spoke about the Gore campaign to the press, Gore's poll numbers went down. And that even during the 2004 campaign, the Kerry team speculated to the media that Clinton might "still" be more of a vote loser than a vote winner. And after that speculation, they used him exactly the same way that Gore did in 2000 - - with the possible exception of the rally in Philadelphia, although you could argue that this was no different than the "torch passing" ceremony that Gore used early in his campaign.
Anyway, here's Gore talking about the Clinton/Gore economic record in a few speeches before the last two weeks of the campaign - - if I had all day, I could find a hundred examples for you.
http://www.algore-08.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=91&Itemid=123Speech Transcript: Announcement of 2000 Presidential Candidacy
Wednesday, 16 June 1999
by Al Gore
Carthage, TN
(snip)
Under the policies President Clinton and I have proposed, instead of the biggest deficits in history, we now have the biggest surplus in history. Instead of quadrupling our national debt, we've seen the creation of almost 19 million new jobs. Instead of a deep recession and high unemployment, America now has our strongest economy in the history of the United States.
We remember what it was like seven years ago. And I never, ever want to go back. America always looks forward, to the next horizon.
I want to keep our prosperity going - and I know how to do it. I want to do it the right way - not by letting people fend for themselves, or hoping for crumbs of compassion, but by giving people the skills and knowledge to succeed in their own right in the next century.
***
http://www.algore-08.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=85&Itemid=123Speech Transcript: Remarks to the NAACP 91st Annual Convention
Wednesday, 12 July 2000
(snip)
I know very well that you gave Bill Clinton and me a chance to bring change to this country. So thank you, once again, for 1992 and for 1996.
And after the election, together we set our hands to a time of recession and doubt. We assembled a diverse team that did indeed look like America and reflected the excellence as well as diversity of America. And with that team, we began making changes and crafted a new plan to lift up those who needed help and to strengthen our country by getting the hope and opportunity to those who missed it the most.
What we did was to challenge the old ways. And I don't want you to forget either that it didn't come without a struggle. It didn't come without a fight. It didn't come without a cliff-hanging vote in the House of Representatives that we barely won by one vote. It didn't come without a tie vote in the Senate which I had the honor and privilege of breaking as vice president, making possible a one-vote margin in both houses of Congress.
The other side predicted that our new way would fail, would cause a disaster for the country. Their predictions make for humorous reading now, when you set them beside the outstanding record that Bill Lucy reminded you of, because they were--the other side was headed in the wrong direction. And they still are.
They need to turn around and get with the program, because we now have evidence of exactly why the approach that President Clinton and I have recommended and fought for is good for our country and good for all of our people.
Instead of a triple-dip recession, and the deepest recession since the 1930s, we've seen a tripling of the stock market.
Instead of the biggest deficits in history, we've got the biggest surpluses in history.
Instead of high unemployment, we've got the lowest African-American unemployment in the history of the statistics and the strongest economy in the history of the United States of America. We're making progress. We're headed in the right direction.
We need to keep going in the right direction, and I am here to say: You ain't seen nothing yet. We're going to keep going. We're going to keep building. We're going to keep growing. We're going to keep working together and climb to a higher place, a better place, with even more jobs, where nobody's left behind.
(more...)
http://www.algore-08.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=84&Itemid=123Speech Transcript: Acceptance speech at the 2000 Democratic National Convention
Thursday, 17 August 2000
(snip)
For almost eight years now, I've been the partner of a leader who moved us out of the valley of recession and into the longest period of prosperity in American history. I say to you tonight, millions of Americans will live better lives for a long time to come because of the job that's been done by President Bill Clinton.
(APPLAUSE)
Instead of the biggest deficits in history, we now have the biggest surpluses, the highest home ownership ever, the lowest inflation in a generation, and instead of losing jobs, we now have 22 million good new jobs, higher family incomes.
(APPLAUSE)
Above all, our success comes from you the people who have worked hard for your families. But let's not forget that a few years ago you were also working hard. But your hard work then, was undone by a government that didn't work, didn't put people first, and wasn't on your side. Together, we changed things to help unleash your potential, and unleash innovation and investment in the private sector, the engine that drives our economic growth. And our progress on the economy is a good chapter in our history.
(APPLAUSE)
But now we turn the page and write a new chapter. And that's what I want to speak about tonight. This election is not an award for past performance. I'm not asking you to vote for me on the basis of the economy we have. Tonight I ask for your support on the basis of the better, fairer, more prosperous America we can build together.
(more... )