The impact of 'order for guest to leave'After the Andijan event, Karimov visited Russia. The visit was paid under a "semi-closed" state, no political declaration was openly published by the two sides. According to Russia's newspaper, Kommersant, Russia proposed extending military assistance to Uzbekistan and helping it reform its armed forces. In the meantime, Russia also suggested that Uzbekistan return to the CIS Collective Security Treaty Organization. It can thus be said that Russia and Uzbekistan have repaired their years-long cold bilateral relationship, and become afresh "strategic partners". On July 28, Russia held back US proposal for discussing the Uzbek refugee problem at the UN Security Council, which was, without doubt, an important support for Uzbekistan under dual pressure from the West. On August 1, Chairman of the Russian Federal Council (Upper House of Parliament) Sergei Mironnov openly indicated that Uzbekistan's demand for US troop withdrawal is "an entirely logical" move.
As early as the mid-1990s, the United States regarded Central Asia as a "strategic channel" for building a new Eurasia pattern under its domination, thus beginning its infiltration into the region in the political, economic and security fields.
US Central Asia policy includes the following goals: Supporting Central Asian countries' tendency of independence from Russia; simultaneously carrying out the solution of Central Asian regional conflicts and the exploitation of oil resources, so as to make the region become one of US strategic energy bases in the 21st century; and limiting Iran's influence in this region. To achieve these goals, Washington set forth a "new Central Asian strategy" by which it will begin with economy and gradually expand toward the political, military and educational fields.
Against this backdrop, it is not hard for people to imagine what impact would this paper of "order for guest to leave" exert on US Central Asia diplomacy. In order to keep the fruit Washington has reaped through many years of painstaking efforts, US Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld paid urgent visits to Central Asia, and energetically tried to persuade Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan to allow US troops to continue using their military bases in the two countries.
The common saying goes, "It is easier to call up an evil spirit than to allay it". Whether or not Uzbekistan's "order for the guest to leave" can be effective is still to be seen. Anyway, even if Uzbekistan, like its neighbors, would soften up its attitude in the future, US troops' image of "hanging on" in Central Asia has been "magnificently established", perhaps the United States had not thought of this passive situation when it agitated the "color revolution".
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