Hi All,
Before one gets the idea that the economy is in overdrive and all is
well again, consider some of the job losses announced just this week.
http://www.stltoday.com/stltoday/business/stories.nsf/Business%20News/03E82E114A18D1F586256DC1000ACFCD?opendocument&Headline=ICN%20Pharmaceuticals%20will%20cut%201%2C900%20jobs%2C%20sell%208%20manufacturing%20plants"ICN Pharmaceuticals Inc. of Costa Mesa, Calif., which is shedding units
to focus on drug research, will cut more than a third of its work force and sell
eight manufacturing plants to save up to $200 million within five years.
The manufacturing work force will be reduced to about 1,300 from 3,200,
ICN said Wednesday. At the end of last year, the company had about 8,000
manufacturing employees."
http://www.stltoday.com/stltoday/business/stories.nsf/Business/B0A0AB10A20EACAE86256DC1000F58A3?OpenDocument&Headline=Monsanto+cuts+jobs+because+of+drop+in+Roundup+sales+++"Monsanto Co. executives on Wednesday took action, after months of
saying they need to cut costs because competition is hurting sales of
their flagship product, Roundup herbicide.
The agrochemical, biotech seeds and traits company, based in Creve
Coeur, said it is laying off between 7 percent and 9 percent of its
13,200 employees, or between 924 and 1,188 people."
http://komotv.com/stories/27776.htm"FERNDALE - Alcoa announced Wednesday it is laying off 200 of the 600
workers at its Intalco aluminum smelter here and cutting production in
half because of high electricity costs.
One wonders where all these folks will find employment among the 9
million already on the street."
For an interesting analysis on Silicon Valley and the loss of high-tech jobs,
the following from prudent bear is worth considering.
http://www.prudentbear.com/archive_comm_article.asp?category=Guest+Commentary&content_idx=27281"Living in Silicon Valley, the perpetual question is when will
employment recover? The quickest way for this to happen is if the
economy recovers and the major high-tech companies start adding staff
again."
"...there is little justification for forecasts of an employment
recovery in Silicon Valley."
"In fact, Andy Grove was quoted October 9, 2003 as saying Intel has no
choice but to hire overseas in order to remain competitive."
"Conclusion: If high-tech employment recovers anytime soon in Silicon
Valley, it will not be due to hiring at the largest employers."
Finally, we have this from Money magazine.
http://money.cnn.com/2003/10/15/news/economy/unemployment_poll.reut/index.htm"Analysts see scant prospect of a meaningful fall in U.S. unemployment
for months to come, despite tentative signs of a turn in the jobs market
in recent days, a Reuters poll showed Wednesday."
'"It would take jobs growth of 200,000 to 300,000 a month for six months
or more to make a dent in unemployment," said James Glassman, senior economist
at J.P. Morgan.'
'"I suspect that a large part of these net job losses -- particularly in manufacturing,
airlines and telecommunications -- are permanent and will not be reversed as
the economy gains steam. Instead, new jobs will need to be created in other sectors
of the economy to replace them," was the cautious conclusion of Fed Governor Susan Bies last week.'