Taliban raise the stakes in AfghanistanBy Syed Saleem ShahzadKARACHI - After two years of guerilla warfare with almost dry supply lines, the Taliban are now in a position around the important cities of south and southeastern Afghanistan to begin the next phase of their campaign to oust foreign troops from the country.
At present, they are poised to close in on Kandahar, Khost, Jalalabad, Asadabad and Gardez.
A top jihadi field commander told Asia Times Online on the condition of anonymity that over the past few months the Taliban have continued with their policy of guerilla strikes, even though they have incurred heavy casualties. This has helped the Taliban, who were removed by the US-led attack on Afghanistan at the end of 2001, in two ways. Firstly, the attacks have largely demoralized the Afghan militia, which has virtually stopped conducting search and seize operations, and is now focussed on protecting its base camps. Secondly, Taliban supporters among the masses have gained in confidence and are more openly extending their support in practical terms.
As a result, the Taliban have established their own "governorates" in villages across Kunhar, Nanaghar, Paktia and Paktika. The ground situation in Afghanistan is identical to the post-USSR occupation period and during communist rule in Afghanistan in the early 1990s when the Afghan government's rule was restricted to the cities, and the outskirts and villages were controlled by mujahideen.
To use a practical example, one could look at the situation in Nanaghar. From Turkham, in the Pakistani tribal area on the border, Jalalabad in Afghanistan is barely an hour's drive away along the Jalalabad highway. There are dozens of villages along the route, all of which are occupied by the fighters of the Hizb-i-Islami (HIA) of former mujahideen commander Gulbuddin Hekmatyar. The village of Killa Shinwari serves as a form of headquarters where daily resistance meetings are held.
The Afghan militia is well aware of this situation, but it has established what amounts to a truce with the HIA, and neither side transgresses across their marked borders. A similar situation exists around Khost and Kandahar, where verbal truce agreements have been made. As a result, the widespread skirmishes that have characterized these regions the past months have all but stopped, allowing the resistance the time to plot for bigger things.
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