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Edited on Thu Apr-06-06 07:49 PM by KevinJ
For every action there is an equal and opposite reaction. It's as true in public policy as it is in physics. Say we clamp down on immigration as you propose. Certain sectors of the economy which currently rely upon migrant labor will suddenly no longer be able to rely upon that labor. How will they respond? Will they raise wages to the point that they can attract US workers to some very unpleasant jobs? Bear in mind, the popular perception that these are minimum wage jobs is mostly mythical, the majority pay considerably better than US workers working in Mal-Wart, for instance, will make, yet US workers are not rushing to fill those jobs because they are bloody unpleasant jobs. How much would someone have to pay you to get you to work in a poultry processing plant, for instance? Personally, I'm not sure there's any wage that would draw me to such a job. So wages would probably have increase considerably. Profit margins in the argicultural sector are already pretty thin: to the best of my knowledge, there are no billionaire farmers out there jacking up the cost of goods by paying themselves $50 million/year salaries. Labor is the number one cost of production. All of this means that, if wages go up substantially, prices will go up. How will we American consumers respond? Will we pay extra to buy US grown produce or will we buy cheaper imported produce? If we do what, let's be honest, we mostly have been doing and supporting the Mal-Warts of the world as opposed to the businesses which treat their employees decently but have to charge higher prices as a consequence, we're probably going to stop buying US in favor of the cheaper imports. If there's no demand for US goods at the higher prices, how will those businesses continue to operate? If they shut down altogether, it will cost us a great many more jobs than illegal immigration costs us.
Alternatively, what if businesses respond by moving their businesses offshore? It may be that illegal immigration has some adverse impact on US jobs, it's not a given, but it's admittedly a possibility. What is absolutely, positively certain is that when a business moves offshore and takes all of its jobs with it, that is extremely harmful to the US economy. At that point, not only are all of the jobs being outsourced, but the taxes being paid by the businesses, the consumer spending spent by the employees, the taxes paid by those same employees, as well as any the supplemental jobs which go along with that industry (such as, for instance, distribution and marketing), all of those direct and indirect benefits go not to the US, but to the overseas host country - it is a 100% total write off from the point of view of the US economy. Outsourcing is truly catastrophic as the US derives no benefit other than cheap goods, the proceeds from the sale of which leave the US economy forever. So, if US businesses were to respond to increases in labor costs by outsourcing, then, yes, absolutely, shutting down immigration could have a profoundly negative impact on the US economy.
That's the bad outcome. Personally, I don't think it has to be that way. If we were to pump our money into education and re-direct our economy away from the production of low cost goods and recapture our strength as a global high-tech leader, then, hell, we can afford to buy our agricultural goods from poor countries because we'll be exporting goods and services of much greater value. Unfortunately, for that rosy scenario to come to pass, we would have to adopt a progressive system of taxation more along the lines of that used in Europe which would generate the revenues needed for large-scale infrastructure investments, we'd have to scale back our military spending to a sane level in order to free up monies for domestic investment, in other words, we'd have to adopt a regulated form of capitalism similar to that which prevails in the developed world, rather than our every man for himself, let them eat cake, unfettered cowboy capitalism which we're so fond of in this country. You've probably guessed by now, I'm not a fan. I do believe there is a better way. Unfortunately, I think the chances of us committing ourselves to that better way within the foreseeable future are slim to nonexistent. It's just the fucked-up country we live in, whether we like it or not. In the absence of a true solution, we're left with damage control, selecting between poor options. Which is the least worst option, immigration or outsourcing? I may be wrong, but if that is in fact the choice we face, immigration is by far the lesser evil.
By the way, welcome to DU! :hi:
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