self delete

[rodeodance]

oops, wrong forum

[msongs]

1. anti-war chaffee wins = good, anti war lamont wins = bad??? repubs

and the right wing media (formerly the MSM)are trying to have it both ways eh?

Msongs
www.msongs.com/political-shirts.htm

[longship]

2. ****DING DING DING DING DING*****

We have a **WINNAH**!!!

I speculated some weeks ago that the O'Neill principle, "All politics is local", is not in play this election. I have further speculated that the public opinion polls are not going to pick up on the true political environment this year because much of the visceral electorate anger is "under the radar" and is not registering on the polls.

My reasons for believing that this may be true is that the anecdotal evidence does not match the polling. We have upwards of 60 Republican seats in play in the House alone at this very moment. If you scan through the prediction sites you see a variety of disconnect between the prognasticators on which races are competitive and which are not. They are all over the board, and in races all across the country, but there is little concensus, except for a few races which seem to be going extraordinarily bad for the Repukes.

Yet, there is not a single Democrat-held seat in serious jeopardy. NOT ONE! The closest, Melissa Bean's IL-6 seat, is considered, at worse, a tie, but many have it as close-leaning Democrat. This is devastating for the Repukes.

What I think is happening is that the Republicans are all but doomed at this point. Nothing they are doing is going to change things substantially, no matter what the polls are saying. The electorate's opinion for ChimpCo is *very* soft, but the electorate's opinion on Democrats is much more firm. This is why the polls are drifting all over the place. Some independants are flip-flopping all over the place because they are angry but essentially undecided. However, come election day, they will react to their anger and their gut feelings and will vote for the Democrats in greater numbers. Polls won't pick this up.

Dems will easily take the House and may take the Senate as well. In the Senate, Repukes are in big trouble in OH, PA, MT, RI, MO, VA, and TN--we could get all seven. By election day, AZ and maybe even NV could become competitive as well, if Dems play their cards right. That's a possibility of eight, with seven reasonably possible.

[Pithlet]

3. That's okay

I'll lock this, then.