Dean Increases Lead As Clark Challenges Kerry for Second Place (NH)

[Freddie Stubbs]

Receiving a boost from registered Democrats, former Vermont Governor Howard Dean has increased his lead in ballot preference among likely Democratic primary voters in the New Hampshire Democratic Presidential Preference Primary according to the latest New Hampshire Poll. In ballot preference, Dean now leads with 45%. Senator John Kerry is at 13% and Wesley Clark is at 11%. Ballot preferences for the six other major candidates remain in single digits.

Dean's strength is based on gaining support from registered Democrats. A total of 46% of registered Democrats now say they would vote for Dean, surpassing the 44% of undeclared voters saying they would vote for Dean.

These results are based on 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of registered Democrats and undeclared voters in New Hampshire saying they will definitely vote in the Democratic primary on January 27. This sample includes 430 Democrats (72%) and 170 undeclared voters (28%). The interviews were conducted November 30 through December 3, 2003. The theoretical margin of error for the total sample of 600 is plus or minus 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Ballot preference for Dean is up 7 percentage points from two weeks ago as ballot preference for Kerry has dropped 4 percentage points.

more: http://americanresearchgroup.com/nhpoll/dem/

[Ediacara]

1. wow

I was under the impression that New Hampshire would be a make or break horse race between Dean and Kerry or Clark. results from Iowa could significantly change these numbers though....

[Racenut20]

2. Makes me wonder

What percentage of that vote in NH are crossover Republicans that want to see Dean on the ballot so we can have an election, as Pat Buchanan said we are going to) about same sex marriage instead of the economy/environment/ and the war???????

Personally I am not too enthused about the nominee preference of the New Hampshire population, Democrat or Republican, because It won't help at all in the swing states the nominee will need to carry.

[beyurslf]

3. Every time I hear Dean has peaked

I see a new poll like this showing his continued growth in the polls of key states.

[Freddie Stubbs]

4. Only registered Democrats were surveyed for this poll

http://americanresearchgroup.com/nhpoll/dem/

[Debi]

8. It couldn't just be because Dean CAN win..

Could it.

Everyone who likes 'politics as usual' keeps tell us why Dean can't win. And he keeps topping the polls - topping the fundraising - topping the turnout at events.

I think I'll stick with the guy who Washington says 'can't' win - rather than the status quo who can't catch a break!

[ps1074]

5. Zogby released similar results yesterday

American Research
Dean - 45%
Kerry - 13%
Clark - 11%


Zogby
Dean - 42%
Kerry - 12%
Clark - 9%

In both the polls Dean is over 40%. In both the polls no other candidate is over 15%.

[Jerseycoa]

6. Okay

Clark and Kerry tied for second within the MOE is more than I expected this soon.

[Vikingking66]

7. wow, the hits just keep coming

New Hampshire loves Dean, and I think Kerry is in deep
shit. Clark may well be the anti-Dean, but you know what?
If that happened, at least we'd know that we have a choice
between 2 anti-war Democratic insurgents. It would be cool
if it ended in a unity ticket.

[Moderator]

9. This is a dupe.

Please continue the conversation here:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=104&topic_id=823141

I am locking this thread.



DU Moderator