49 percent of Nevadans view Bush unfavorably (Red state!)

[NVMojo]

Nevadans are not happy with the president.

A new Review-Journal poll finds that only 41 percent of voters in the state have a favorable view of George W. Bush, while 49 percent view him unfavorably. Ten percent are neutral.

In 2004, Bush took Nevada with 50.5 percent of the vote, compared to 47.9 percent for Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry. But, reflecting a trend seen across America, Nevadans appear to have soured on the lame-duck Republican president.

The survey of 625 likely Nevada voters was conducted last week by Washington, D.C.-based Mason-Dixon Polling & Research and carries a margin of error of 4 percentage points in either direction. The poll was commissioned by the Review-Journal, reviewjournal.com and KVBC-TV, Channel 3.

"It's a big swing. It's pretty significant," Mason-Dixon Managing Partner Brad Coker said of Bush's decline in popularity. "I would attribute it to the war in Iraq.

more...

http://www.reviewjournal.com/lvrj_home/2006/Sep-27-Wed-2006/news/9865608.html

[bluestateguy]

1. Well he is dumping nuculer waste in their state

Clinton stopped that damn project. Bush wants to dump nuculer waste in Nevada.

[0rganism]

2. I don't think the excerpt fairly represents the article's contents

"Nevadans appear to have soured on the lame-duck Republican president" - that's key, right?

W only got 50.5% of the vote there in 2004. That's hardly a landslide for bush, and given that 47.9% voted for Kerry in that election, a 49% (+/-4%) disapproval of W is hardly what I could think of as a "big swing". Supporting evidence for that position would be a comparison with approval for Sen. Kerry, or better yet, a segmentation of the survey population into those who voted for bush or Kerry who would or would not change their vote were it held again today. Now that may also have been in the survey, but I couldn't find a link to the raw results on the reviewjournal's page.

This article has much more bad news (to me, anyway): things look grim for Dems in Nevada this year:
"In last week's Review-Journal poll, U.S. Sen. John Ensign, R-Nev., led Democrat Jack Carter by 58 percent to 35 percent. Rep. Jon Porter, R-Nev., was ahead of Democrat Tessa Hafen, 47 percent to 37 percent. Republican congressional candidate Dean Heller was narrowly beating Democrat Jill Derby, 45 percent to 42 percent. Republican Jim Gibbons led the race for governor by 45 percent to Democrat Dina Titus' 36 percent."

I thought Ensign's seat was supposed to be on the "vulnerable" list this year -- but damn, it looks pretty safe if that part's accurate.