Source:
Congessional QuarterlyIt has been a very long time since the Democrats have staged a seriously competitive bid to win Alabama’s conservative-leaning 2nd Congressional District. But that has changed this year, the result of seven-term Republican Rep. Terry Everett ’s surprise decision to retire after eight terms and the emergence of
Bobby Bright — mayor of the state capital of Montgomery, the 2nd District’s major population center — as the likely Democratic nominee.
These circumstances have prompted CQ Politics to change its rating on the race to Leans Republican, denoting a highly competitive contest, from Safe Republican, a non-competitive category to which the race had been previously assigned.
Even with a well-known candidate, the Democratic takeover bid faces formidable obstacles. The 2nd, located in the southeastern corner of Alabama, was in the vanguard of the traditionally Democratic but strongly conservative districts that shifted toward Republican allegiances beginning in the early 1960s. Republican Bill Dickinson easily unseated Democratic incumbent George S. Grant in 1964 — a year in which Alabama was one of just seven states that favored Republican Barry Goldwater for president over Democratic incumbent Lyndon B. Johnson — and faced competitive contests in only two of his subsequent 13 House elections.
But Everett’s decision to retire, announced last September, coupled with more recent decision by Bright to pursue the Democratic nomination appear to have put the Democrats back in a game that they have essentially sat out for several election cycles.
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