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NYTimesBy JAVIER C. HERNANDEZ
Published: March 29, 2010
A weak jobs market crimped the paychecks of Americans in February, a government report indicated on Monday, with household incomes remaining flat.
But even as wages held steady, consumers were more willing to part with the little cash they had on hand. Spending rose 0.3 percent, or $34.7 billion, compared with January, the Commerce Department said, meeting expectations.
Bernard Baumohl, chief global economist at the Economic Outlook Group, said the data was an “unambiguous sign that consumers are growing more confident.”
“There is an enormous amount of pent-up demand and now it is being unleashed,” Mr. Baumohl said.
Economists expect spending to rise modestly this year. But consumer confidence is still at extraordinarily low levels, and economists believe the nation’s stubbornly weak labor market — the unemployment rate stands at 9.7 percent — will continue to constrain spending.
In addition, Americans, still nervous about the economy, will probably keep a higher-than-usual proportion of their income in savings. Though the saving rate fell to 3.1 percent last month, after pushing above 4 percent last year, economists cautioned that month-to-month data could be erratic. The saving rate in the first quarter of 2008 was 1.2 percent.
“Households are gradually altering their behavior in the face of large capital losses in investment and real estate portfolios, a weak labor market, and tight credit,” Joshua Shapiro, chief economist for MFR, wrote in a research note.
The labor market continues to shed jobs on a monthly basis, though the pace of losses has decreased and economists believe that the economy may have created jobs in March.
Still, even if jobs start reappearing, wages are expected to remain suppressed.
Wages and salaries, which make up more than half of personal income, were largely flat in February, increasing by $2.7 billion.
Spending on long-lasting goods, like cars and air-conditioners, was weaker in February than spending on items like food and clothing.
In its report on Monday, the Commerce Department said spending levels in January were less robust than previously thought, rising 0.4 percent rather than the original forecast of 0.5 percent. Income was higher than originally reported, rising 0.3 percent rather than the original report of 0.1 percent.
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