Nearly 1 million have cast ballots in N.C.

[kick-ass-bob]

Source: Raleigh News and Observer

RALEIGH -- About 950,000 voters have cast ballots in North Carolina, according to data released Sunday that show an early Republican surge in voting has been matched at the polls among registered Democrats.

An Associated Press analysis of the state's voter database shows more than 15 percent of North Carolina's registered voters have made their selections. Early voting ended Saturday, and mail-in absentee ballots continue to arrive ahead of the election Tuesday.

About 46 percent of ballots cast have come from registered Democrats, while 36 percent are from registered Republicans. The advantage for Democrats has steadily widened since the first days of early voting began about two weeks ago, when Republicans were trailing by just a few percentage points.



Read more: http://www.newsobserver.com/2010/11/01/773212/nearly-1-million-have-cast-ballots.html

---

46-36. Good stuff. It was split even about a week ago. Now we have surged.

[Oceansaway]

1. K&R...n/t

[Life Long Dem]

2. No enthusiasm for Democrats here.

The media is so full of shit.

[kick-ass-bob]

3. I love how the Repubes were

crowing earlier in the week about their GOTV and how this was a great sign for them and now in this article, they say 'oh, early voting doesn't really matter that much'

LOL

[loudsue]

9. This is just trying to re-energize the repukes. That's what the N & O is all about.

They're trying to put the fear of Pelosi/Reid into all the republicans. Those corporate money commercials are running at full speed on tv on behalf of repukes everywhere.

[kick-ass-bob]

13. What's hilarious is that the baggers think the N&O is still

run by the Yellow Dog dems of the 70s and think it is the most liberally biased paper in the country outside of the NYT.

Too bad they don't realize that it was sold about 15 years ago...

[Mosaic]

4. Just say no

To gridlock. Do your civic duty and vote Democratic.

[mikekohr]

8. VOTE EARLY AND OFTEN

but always vote Democratic

[Shining Jack]

47. I can vote more than once?

:P

[madmax]

5. Add 2 tomorrow :) nt

[nc4bo]

12. I picked the same time. Have a happy voting day! nt

[barbtries]

25. will be at the polls

in raleigh by 6:45 am tomorrow. i may even open 'em.

[madmax]

52. mwah - love the hat ;)

[G_j]

6. I'm one of them nt

[CRK7376]

7. Mailed in my

Absentee ballot about a month ago. Military vote, go DEMS!

[JoePhilly]

10. Voted straight D here in NC on Friday ... nt.

[Hissyspit]

22. I did the same the very first day.

Am concerned how early voting affects the exit polls, but then I've never been exit polled at all.

[druidity33]

53. exit polling not being done anymore?

Someone said that in another thread and i've been looking for confirmation since...

Any idea whether they are still being done and by whom?

:shrug:

[bowens43]

11. I voted last week and was able to get in and out quickly

my son voted Saturday, the last day of early voting here in NC, he had to wait in line for over 2 hours.

[melm00se]

14. 46 - 36

that is good news...if the southern democrats actually voted for democratic candidates.

Early voters, in my mind, are the more dedicated voters...it's the ones that haven't voted yet who are the key. which side of the aisle will be more motivated to get their asses in gear and go cast their votes.

[EC]

15. That still leaves

18% that could be going either way...

[flakey_foont]

16. cast mine on Saturday

very good turnout and appeared overwhelming Dem....although it was in Orange County, a progressive bastion

[kick-ass-bob]

17. I'm registered Indy and was canvassed

by a Republican asking me to consider voting conservative. He wasn't tea bagger type.

I said "I'd see what I could do" not wanting to get into it at my house. He said "the big ones we want are Burr and Price out."
(which I always find funny that they don't give a rats ass about the (Wake) County Commissioners which actually determines where most of your money is spent)
I said, "yeeeah, we'll see." He got the message.

I'm not changing his mind, so I'm not arguing on my front porch with him.

[Iliyah]

19. BUT BUT

thats voter fraud I tell you!

So the corporate medial is trying to put fear into the hearts of the repug voters, huh? How original.

[AlbertCat]

18. A Totally Unscientific Numbers Game....again...

I did this earlier but I'll post it again, because I find it interesting.

At the NC Board of Elections site it lists at the top the number of registered voters


Dem 2,765,495 Repug 1,956,423 Libert 9,247 Unaffil 1,462,220

Libertaians are often conservative, not always, but let's give the Repugs the benefit of the doubt and add all the Libertarian votes to the Repugs

Dem 2,765,495 Repug + Libert 1,965,670

Repuga are short of Dems still. So let's assume 1/2 of the Unaffiliated go Repug too.

Dem 2,765,495 Repug + Libert + 1/2 Unaffil 2,696,780

Still shy of Dems and I haven't even added the other 1/2 Unaffiliated to the Dems!

So let's assume more Unaffiliateds wll be conservative than not and add 2/5ths to the Dems and 3/5ths to the Repugs.

Dem + 2/5ths 3,350,383 Repug + Libert + 3/5ths 2,843,002

STILL shy! Let's try 3/4ths of Unaffiliated going conservative.

Dem +1/4 3,131,050 Repug + Libert + 3/4ths 3,062,335

So, even with all the Libertarians and 3/4ths of the Unaffiliateds the Repugs are STILL shy by

68,715!!!!!!


This of course an unscientific game. I made up voting habits for both sides... not all Dems will vote Dem (fools!) and who knows how Libertarians and Unaffiliateds will vote. But even so.... it seems fishy to me that NC would go red!

NC is so purple skitzoid!

[Spiderzumbie]

20. State Was already red as a babboon's ass, no stopping that.

Wow, that last statement was really pessimistic.

[kick-ass-bob]

23. You obviously don't know anything about NC politics then.

The State houses have been Democratically controlled since the 19th century and have had I think 2 Republican governors in that time.

The US House of Representatives since going to 13 districts has been an average of 7-6 by party.

Outside Jesse Helms, the senate seat has switched parties every election.

The only thing "Red as a baboon's ass" about this state has been presidential elections, which again, was reversed last time.

[Alcibiades]

27. We're not a Republican state

Unless you somehow consider a state that went for President Obama, has a Democratic governor and both houses of the state legislature controlled by Democrats somehow to be a Republican state.

This has always been a Democratic state. The only thing that's been Republican has been the tendency to vote Republican in presidential races, which has changed. In no small part this has been due to folks moving from other states: our number one source of inmigration is New York, and we have gotten lots of folks from New England, two.

This isn't Jesse Helms' North Carolina any more. Please don't insult the hardworking Democrats who have worked to keep North Carolina blue by accusing us of being Republican.

[kick-ass-bob]

28. And here is the list of NC Senators throughout history:

http://www.senate.gov/pagelayout/senators/one_item_and_teasers/north_carolina.htm

[AlbertCat]

30. This isn't Jesse Helms' North Carolina any more.

And even "defund the NEA" Helms voted for a STATE SUPPORTED SCHOOL OF THE ARTS in the '60's. (I know... I went there. Have a BFA in Costume Design)

Even Helms is skitzoid. The whole state is!

[AlbertCat]

32. Wow, that last statement was really pessimistic.

And untrue.... so don't sweat it.

[Tunkamerica]

42. NC went for Obama and has a democratic governor.

check your facts

[jmowreader]

48. NC is a very weird state

It's one of the few, if not the ONLY, state in which voting "straight ticket" won't put a vote for president in the system. People there very often vote Republican for the president, then Democratic for every downticket race.

[No Elephants]

21. EGMA (Enthusiasm Gap, My Ass)

[barbtries]

24. aha!

how sweet would it be if marshall won??

[kick-ass-bob]

26. I would soil myself with excitement.

Seriously.

:P

[NewJeffCT]

35. That would be a huge stunner

I think she had closed the gap in recent weeks to just under double digits...but, a win would be almost inconceivable.

[AlbertCat]

31. if marshall won??

I didn't think she was the best candidate for Dems... but the Party has just abandoned her! Meanwhile, it's wall to wall Burr ads (boy are they lousy too... vague and inaccurate) for weeks now during the local news. Marshall had one ad? maybe? I've seen twice. She got zero help from the National Dems or White House.

Why?

This should have been an easy win. Burr is as useless a Dole was! He also single handedly put a hold on something in the Senate... what was it?...

Here is what he did (from NCDP.org)


Burr used an arcane procedural tactic to cancel a meeting of the Senate Armed Services Committee in which U.S. generals had flown in from South Korea and Hawaii to testify about the Pentagon’s needs for the upcoming year. Burr initially refused to provide an explanation for his actions, then later released a statement acknowledging that he was acting on behalf of the Republican leadership and not on behalf of his constituents in North Carolina.

Is that not a winning issue for Marshall? Burr wastes our military's time and money....doing the party's bidding and NOT his constituency's!!!! Another Libby Dole just collecting money and perks from NC but not working for the people of NC.

She should win.... but alas I doubt she will. She could with a little of that big money....and some endorsements from the Dem party.

[kick-ass-bob]

33. The party was NEVER THERE for her.

They supported their boy Cal Cunningham who just gave me the heebie-jeebies and then left her there twisting in the wind.

Even worse, 2 weeks after the primary, she was polling at a draw with Burr - but no support ever came.

That's why all my money went to her instead of the DCCC. Sorry boys, if you aren't going to support her, I have to.

[dhpgetsit]

29. Not counting chickens yet but

High turnout usually favors Democrats.

[Politicub]

34. My mom voted in NC on Thursday -- dems all the way

She rocks :)

[chapel hill dem]

36. Many Jesse helms supporters are registered D

When Jesse Helms was active, he encouraged his supporters to register as Democrats in order to be able to vote in the Democratic primary. Back then, I am not sure there was an "Independent" category.

Jesse then asked all of the "Jesse-crats" to vote for the weakest Democrat to give him the greatest advantage in the election.

I have tried to parse the numbers in the last few elections based on registration and have found a large margin of error that I blame on residual Jesse-crats.

FWIW

Born in NC, lived here 43 years.

[Cognitive_Resonance]

40. Thankfully that demographic shrinks a little more every year. nt

[kick-ass-bob]

41. That hasn't helped as much lately.

A nearly bygone era now. The flip-flopping of the seats every election shows that the Jessecrats don't really impact any more.

There was an independent category for the second half or so of his tenure that could vote in Dem primaries but not Rep ones. Now, as you know, it's both.

Born and raised, 37 years ;)

[Blue Owl]

37. Karl's frantically tweaking the mighty Wurlitzer

It's gonna take a lot to steal this one, motherfucker.

[DLine]

38. Another D will cast a ballot tomorrow morning...

Glad to see Democrats turning up to the polls here.

[slay]

39. I'm in NC

if we even have a CHANCE to get rid of Richard Burr we need to go try. And Elaine Marshall running against him seems pretty good too.

[IScreamSundays]

43. How is it after all of these years watching elections and returns...

exit polls and MSM reports that we don't get that the voting is fixed. No one is replaced without swearing their honor to the agenda; no incumbent is granted re-election without their solemn promise to the PTB.

They are now trying to tell us that California is going to reject Prop 19. Give me a FB. No way California doesn't pass 19 without Diebold tabulators. Oh, I guess everyone here forgot about all that vote manipulation. We still believe that our vote really counts.

Now I am ignorant when it comes to voting systems in other states, but I KNOW what is going on in my state.

[beltanefauve]

45. Re: Prop 19

We don't have Diebold tabulators in CA. Our Secretary of Stae Debra Bowen (let's re-elect her, Cali!) de-certified the machines and we vote on paper now!
That said, I think the word on Prop 19 flailing in the polls is BS.

[IScreamSundays]

46. We vote with paper ballots that are counted by

DIEBOLD tabulators!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! I have seen them in my precinct for years.

[IScreamSundays]

54. BS. we sure do.

Do your homework. We have a long way to go for real elections anywhere in this country. Just because the paper ballots are available for recount means nothing. Especially for federal elections where their court challenges were deemed moot because the house had already certified the election. This happened right here in California circa 2008

snip>
New CA SoS report confirms findings of 'Humboldt Transparency Project,' discovers even more egregious failures in widely-used Diebold voting counting system
One of the citizens who designed the software, responsible for the startling discoveries, offers his thoughts...
Guest Blogged by Mitch Trachtenberg of the Humboldt County Election Transparency Project

California Secretary of State Debra Bowen has released a remarkable 13-page report of her office's investigation into how the Diebold/Premier GEMS software silently dropped all votes contained on 197 ballots from the Humboldt County, California, November 2008 general election.

The report shows that this version of GEMS not only deleted a batch of ballots without any request by --- or alert to --- the elections staff, but also failed to note the deletion in the system's audit log. The report also points to other startling deficiencies with Diebold/Premier's software: "Key audit trail logs in GEMS version 1.18.19 do not record important operator interventions such as deletion of decks of ballots, assign inaccurate date and time stamps to events that are recorded, and can be deleted by the operator."

snip>

http://www.bradblog.com/?p=6962

[Duval]

44. I have some more phone banking for Move On

this afternoon, then voting DEMOCRATIC all the way tomorrow. But, I'm a tad nervous.:crazy: :silly: :dem:

[BAPhill]

49. Guess that makes me one in a million..

Voted on the second or third day

[SocialistLez]

50. Only a little over 15 percent? Damn...

[AC_Mem]

51. When we GOTV, Dems WIN

I have dollar bets all over the place. We will keep the House and the Senate.

DESIRE
ASK
BELIEVE
RECEIVE


Peace, Luv and Vote!
Annette

[madmax]

55. I'm going to vote early from now on

I'm a little paranoid about that since 2000 but, I should realize that if they're going to fuck with it - they fuck with it either way.

[defendandprotect]

56. EARLY or LATE was the guidance in 2008 .... presuming that it creates

some confusion among Repugs about how much they have to steal --

Remember those 18,000 votes in Saratoga in '08 where no one voted for President?

Wasn't that it --

When they have to do steals in a rush, odd things begin to happen!!


:evilgrin: