Lieberman Leads in South Carolina Poll

[goobergunch]

WASHINGTON (AP) -- Presidential candidate Joe Lieberman maintained a slim lead among likely Democratic primary voters in South Carolina, according to a survey released Friday.

The Connecticut senator had 13 percent support to 8 percent for Rep. Dick Gephardt of Missouri and Al Sharpton, according to the poll conducted by the Zogby Group. A larger percentage of South Carolinians - 42 percent - remain undecided.

John Edwards, a senator from neighboring North Carolina, and Sen. John Kerry of Massachusetts had 5 percent support. Former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean was at 4 percent, and Sen. Bob Graham of Florida and former Illinois Sen. Carol Moseley Braun were at 3 percent. Rep. Dennis Kucinich of Ohio was at zero percent.

<snip>

The latest Zogby poll of 501 likely primary voters was conducted July 26-30 and has an error margin of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.

more...http://customwire.ap.org/dynamic/stories/S/SOUTH_CAROLINA_POLL?SITE=WIRE&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT

[qb]

1. This has to be name recognition from 2000 doesn't it?

Doesn't this suggest Gore would kick ass if he got back in?

[goobergunch]

3. Gore isn't running (n/t)

[qb]

5. Yet. nt

[goobergunch]

7. See this link

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=102&topic_id=47096&mesg_id=47096

[patdem]

2. 501? I do believe they do polls till they reach their required

result, then STOP calling anyone else? A poll of 1023 people, or a poll of 787 people or 2526 people?? I think they just poll long enough to get the desired result and STOP? :shrug:

[ahimsa]

4. What about the margin of error?

The Connecticut senator had 13 percent support to 8 percent for Rep. Dick Gephardt of Missouri and Al Sharpton, according to the poll conducted by the Zogby Group.

The latest Zogby poll of 501 likely primary voters was conducted July 26-30 and has an error margin of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.


These results aren't even outside the margin of error so aren't even statistically significant, I believe. For all they know, the results could be Lieberman 8.5% (13-4.5) and Sharpton 12.5% (8+4.5). Someone please correct me if I'm not understanding how the margin of error works.

[placton]

6. How many think SC will vote for Dem 11-04?

This is meaningless - who cares about a state devoted to Bush?

[goobergunch]

8. No it isn't

The SC primary is 3 February 2004...one of the first after Iowa and New Hampshire.

[robbedvoter]

9. Zogby strikes again! If they bothered at least to put Edwards higher

I might have bought it. But this from the guys wo told us 69% dems think W will be "reelected"? Not even funny!

[demnan]

10. That's very interesting

about the opposite of what I would have expected. I guess that's the end this go round for Mr. Edwards.

[samsingh]

11. there is no clear frontrunner

none of these candidates are exciting.

it's time for Gore to return.