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The GuardianThinktank cuts growth forecast for UK following austerity measures and says unemployment could rise to 9.1% by 2013Larry Elliott, economics editor | Monday November 28 2011 11.32 GMT
The west's leading economic thinktank has warned that Britain faces sliding into a double-dip recession this winter.
In disappointing news for George Osborne as he puts the finishing touches to Tuesday's autumn statement, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) said output would fall in the final three months of 2011 and the first quarter of 2012.
The Paris-based OECD said it expected the UK to grow by 0.5% in 2012 as a whole but the two consecutive quarters of contraction fulfil the technical definition of a recession. In its half-yearly healthcheck on the global economy, the thinktank cut its growth forecasts for all the west's major economies and urged policymakers to take urgent action to prevent the contagion spreading from Europe's sovereign debt crisis.
The OECD said in May that it expected the UK to grow by 1.8% next year, but said on Monday that it was sharply downgrading its forecast because public spending cuts, the squeeze on household incomes and a more difficult climate for exporters had weakened the economy.
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http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2011/nov/28/uk-double-dip-recession-oecd