I'm taking bets it does not show. Anyone care to bet? :rofl:
Here’s a front-line report from Rice University physicist Paul Padley, who is in Switzerland this week:
"If you take the previously presented results – the most recent being shown at the Hadron Collider Physics Conference, and then scale amount of data to what we are now able to analyze, one would not expect a large enough Higgs signal to declare a discovery. In addition, in the small mass window that is now allowed, the standard model prediction is that the number events expected will not be enough to declare a discovery.
In particle physics the standard for discovery is 5 standard deviations above background. At about 3 standard deviations we might start saying words like “hints of” or “possible evidence of” and so forth. Five sigma may seem like too stringent a criterion, but just think of the number of analyses underway at the LHC. There are hundreds of potential papers in the data, and so one expects to the the occasional 3 sigma false result and a fair number of 2 sigma false results.
Again looking back at the previously announced results, the remaining mass range for the Higgs boson is exactly in the region where it is most difficult to look for it. That is only natural, that is why it is the last hiding place left.
Lets suppose the Higgs boson is real and we get at some point in time a 5 sigma signal. At that point in fact we still have a lot of work to do in order to establish the observed object is indeed the Higgs boson as we expect it. Once the mass of the Higgs boson is known there are very clear predictions as to its properties and what sort of particles it will decay to.
We will need to check all those things out before we know for sure what sort of object we are looking at."
A 5-sigma event means that there is virtually no chance of it occurring randomly in the data. In any case, my eyes will be on Switzerland next Tuesday."
http://blog.chron.com/sciguy/2011/12/physicists-close-to-huge-discovery-but-they-probably-dont-have-it-yet/High energy theoretical physics will be getting much more interesting.
:popcorn: