If President Bush's real reason for rolling his tanks into Iraq was to turn on the taps of the world's second-largest oil reserves to lower the cost of energy, he must be sadly disappointed. Following this weekend's attacks by saboteurs on Iraq's main oil pipeline to Turkey, oil prices in London are nearly back to where they were as military commanders prepared the first strikes in March.
The three months since full-blown hostilities ended have been a hard lesson for markets which had hoped to see oil exports from Iraq climb swiftly towards the 2m barrels a day the US promised to deliver by the end of the year. Southern refineries have been plagued by power cuts, the north-south "strategic pipeline" had already been sabotaged, and the weekend's attacks brought exports from the north of the country to a complete standstill.
After the fragility of America's energy supply was demonstrated last week by the worst blackouts for 30 years, and with US oil reserves running at historic lows, the attackers chose their timing well. Brent crude for October delivery was trading up 35 cents a barrel yesterday at $29.16, after hitting a high of $30.34 earlier this month.
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http://www.guardian.co.uk/oil/story/0,11319,1021441,00.html