Poll: Bush And Kerry Tied
NEW YORK, Oct. 4, 2004
Kerry Gets Debate Bounce
Kerry scored a solid success in the first presidential debate. By more than two to one, voters said that Kerry, not Bush, did the best job in that debate; 60 percent declared Kerry the winner, and 23 percent said Bush won.
SOME IMPORTANT GOOD NEWS.... (I think much of what you see below was from only 90 minutes with Kerry. Makes you wonder what two more good performance debates could do to help him further.)
WAS SADDAM HUSSEIN PERSONALLY INVOLVED IN THE ATTACKS OF SEPTEMBER 11? (This is very critical)
(Registered Voters)
Yes
Now 33%
9/2004 39%
5/2003 51%
9/2002 49%
No
Now 56%
9/2004 51%
5/2003 38%
9/2002 35%
One problem for the President is that while many voters see the war in Iraq as part of the war on terrorism, they don’t necessarily think it has had a positive effect. In fact, four in 10 voters say the threat of terrorism against the U.S. has increased as a result of the war.
THREAT OF TERRORISM AGAINST U.S. AS A RESULT OF IRAQ WAR
(Registered Voters)
Increased 40%
Decreased 22%
Stayed the same 36%
And 45 percent of voters think that the conflict in Iraq is creating more terrorists who plan to attack the U.S. rather than eliminating them. Just 27 percent think U.S. action there is helping to eliminate terrorists.
U.S INVOLVEMENT IN IRAQ IS …
(Registered Voters)
Creating more terrorists 45%
Eliminating terrorists 27%
Having no effect 19%
However, just over half the voters accept the argument that the war in Iraq is part of the war on terrorism, and 41 percent say it is a major part. 47 percent do not view the Iraq war as part of the war on terrorism. But fewer voters than ever in this poll now believe that Saddam Hussein was involved in the September 11th attacks. 33 percent of voters still think Saddam Hussein was personally involved, but 56 percent think he was not.
THE BUSH ADMINISTRATION: IRAQ, TERRORISM, AND NORTH KOREA
Most voters evaluate the current administration’s planning and decision making for the war negatively. Almost six in 10 think the Bush administration did a poor job of thinking through what would happen in Iraq as a result of the war. A third think they did a good job of it.
BUSH ADMINISTRATION JOB THINKING THROUGH WHAT WOULD HAPPEN IN IRAQ
(Registered Voters)
Good job 34%
Poor job 59
More than half of voters say the Bush administration was too quick to get the U.S. involved in a war with Iraq. Another 38 percent think the timing of the U.S. action was about right. Only 7 percent say the U.S. too slow to go to war with Iraq.
47 percent of voters think the Bush administration has focused too much on Iraq and not enough on al Qaeda, while 44 percent think the administration has struck the right balance.
LIMITING NORTH KOREAN WEAPONS DEVELOPMENT:
(Registered Voters)
Bush administration has done enough 22%
Bush administration has NOT done enough 57%
Don’t know 21%
BUSH ADMINISTRATION’S POLICIES MADE U.S. SAFER FROM TERRORISM
(Registered Voters)
Yes, safer 56%
No, less safe 27%
No effect 13%
Considering how poor some of the polls have been, I think Kerry clearly kicked started this thing into orbit. What's creepy are all the people who still see Bush as a leader. There is a simmering underground of folks coming to the top who clearly just want Kerry to reassure them. And he will continue to do so especially around the economy. He has done as well as he is going to do on this Iraq terrorism crap.
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