New Swing State Polling from America Coming Together

[RedEarth]

October 07, 2004, 11:50 AM
Iowa, Minnesota, Florida, Wisconsin and New Mexico Polls Show Race Shifting


Washington DC-- Five new polls commissioned by America Coming Together show the race is shifting in John Kerry’s favor in key swing states. Memos written by the pollsters are pasted below:


HARSTAD STRATEGIC RESEARCH conducted a telephone survey for America Coming Together (ACT) among 717 likely voters in Iowa from October 3 to 4, 2004. The statistical margin of error for this survey is + 3.7%. The survey shows a closely divided Iowa electorate, with a small Bush lead within the margin of error, and indications of a tightening race.

• When asked their preference in the presidential race, 46% prefer George Bush, 43% favor John Kerry, 1% opt for Ralph Nader, and 9% are undecided.

• Iowans are very ambivalent about the direction of the nation, with 39% believing it is headed in the right direction while 46% think it is pretty seriously off on the wrong track.

• Half the voters approve of the job Bush is doing as president while 44% disapprove.

• A 49% plurality of Iowans think it was worth going to war in Iraq versus 41% who think it was not worth it.

http://actforvictory.org/act.php/truth/articles/new_swing_state_polling_from_america_coming_together/

and this article....



WASHINGTON, Oct. 7 (UPI) -- Polls from five presidential swing states indicate the 2004 race is shifting in Democrat John Kerry's favor, Americans Coming Together said Thursday.

ACT, a liberal anti-Bush 527 organization, commissioned Democratic pollsters to survey voters in the critical states of Iowa, Minnesota, Florida, Wisconsin and New Mexico.

In Iowa, Harstad Strategic Research found Kerry cutting into Bush's lead, with 43 percent of the 717 likely voters surveyed now backing Kerry against 46 percent for Bush -- just inside the 3.7 point error margin.

In Florida, pollsters Hamilton Beattie & Staff found the race to be a toss up, with 49 percent for Kerry and 47 percent for Bush among the 800 likely voters with an error margin of 3.5 points.

In Minnesota, Peter D. Hart Research, in a survey of 800 registered Minnesota voters, found Kerry leading with 50 percent of the vote to 43 percent for Bush, outside the 3.5 percent error margin.

http://interestalert.com/brand/siteia.shtml?Story=st/sn/10070013aaa06825.upi&Sys=siteia&Fid=POLITICS&Type=News&Filter=Politics