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Polls Show Presidential Race Still Very Tight (Kerry leads in 2, * in 1)

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shawn703 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-12-04 11:45 AM
Original message
Polls Show Presidential Race Still Very Tight (Kerry leads in 2, * in 1)
Poll results released on Monday were divided on who leads the U.S. presidential race, as two gave a slight edge to Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry (news - web sites) and one showed a slim margin of voters favoring President Bush (news - web sites).

more...
http://news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/nm/20041012/pl_nm/campaign_polls_dc_8
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bowens43 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-12-04 11:50 AM
Response to Original message
1. For the incumbent , tied is a loss.
Historically when an incumbent goes into an election with out a significant lead, he loses.
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AndyTiedye Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-12-04 01:12 PM
Response to Reply #1
5. Historically The Incumbent Could Not STEAL So Many Votes

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nickn777 Donating Member (249 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-12-04 12:03 PM
Response to Original message
2. After recalling these polls from 2000....
Read the news from October 27, 2000 below. Look how far off the actual raw popular vote was from what the pollsters (other than Zogby) predicted. And this is just a week or so before the 2000 election.....Gallup had Bush up by THIRTEEN points....LOL....why do these polls get so many headlines when they are so historically inaccurate?

***

October 27, 2000

WASHINGTON (CNN) -- Republican presidential nominee George W. Bush holds a 49-to-43 percent edge over Democratic rival Al Gore in the latest CNN/Time poll, conducted Wednesday and Thursday.
The poll of 2,060 adult Americans, including 1,076 likely voters, has a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points and is thus in essential agreement with a CNN/USA Today/Gallup tracking poll also released Friday. That poll gives Bush a 52 percent-39 percent edge over Gore. More important, both polls show the same snapshot of the current state of the presidential campaign: a solid advantage for Bush.
ABC News and The Washington Post both have daily tracking polls today putting the race at 48 percent for Bush and 45 percent for Gore.
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ItsTheMediaStupid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-12-04 12:15 PM
Response to Original message
3. Carter Vs Reagen looked close
It didn't turn out that way.

I'd much rather be the challenger in a tied race right before election day than the incumbent.
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edbermac Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-12-04 12:50 PM
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4. Keep it going JK!! Knockout time tomorrow night!!
:toast:
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