Kerry up 2 pts in today's Rasmussen! Kerry 48.4% bush 46.4%

[milkyway]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Presidential_Tracking_Poll.htm

Monday October 25, 2004--The latest Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll shows Senator John Kerry  with 48% of the vote and President George W. Bush with 46%. The Tracking Poll is updated daily by noon Eastern.


This is the first time Senator Kerry has held the lead since August 23. The 48.4% for Kerry is the Senator's highest total since August 17. Data for this update is collected on a three-day rolling average basis and Senator Kerry held the lead on each of the three days of polling.

[The_Casual_Observer]

1. I am beginning to believe that chimp is actually going to lose

And I think that he thinks so too.

[Richardson08]

3. Dowd and the Boogie Man have been saying * will win 50-47

heard it on Faux news

[wrate]

12. * looks like he WANTS to loose the race. Not so Rove or George H.W. Bush.

n/t

[Name removed]

2. Deleted message

Message removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.

[xyboymil]

4. Momentum's changing, Bush knows it, and the news from Iraq keeps..

getting

worse

and

worse

and worse.

Can't deny it. Wonder how the freepers will try and spin todays results? :eyes:

[NeoConsSuck]

10. It's not just Iraq..

the stock market is tanking in 2004. Three out of the 4 years awol chimp has been in office, investors have lost money in the market, workers have lost money in their retirement funds.

And the market right now is the lowest it's been in 11 months. Don't think people aren't going to be voting their pocketbooks.

[shawmut]

5. woohoo

if right wing Rasmussen says so then we must be doing very well. :toast:

[Gregorian]

6. 10% 90% would be a lead. They call that a lead!?

And I'd still be upset that even ten percent of Americans were that dumb. Damnit man, I'm not convinced that even if Kerry wins, that we have even half of a country. Half of the citizens of this country, have shit for brains.

[w4rma]

7. Ignore the polls. They are a distraction and a waste of time that could be

used to distribute and debate policy and help Dems actually get INTO office.

[milkyway]

9. Yes, but the pre-election media spin might determine who has the

advantage in a disputed election on November 3. If bush is seen as leading in the polls going into the election, then election fraud will not seem to be the determining factor. Remember, everybody assumed in 2000 that bush was the winner, so it was up to us to disprove it. If the race this year is seen by the media as a dead heat or Kerry leading, complaints of fraud will seem much more valid if bush wins.

[chimpy the poopthrower]

8. The problem with Right-Wing polls...

...is that you cannot simply subtract some kind of "R" factor from Bush's number and give it to Kerry's number and think that you now have a trustworthy poll.

These right-wing pollsters have an agenda. Boosting Bush and pulling down Kerry are definitely one of their main objectives, but they have other things on their agenda as well. They may want to make one state or demographic appear better for Bush and another state or demographic appear better for Kerry. We can't always know what they're up to.

And, of course, just like pollsters who are actually trying to find the truth, they are limited by shortcomings in their own methods.

I agree with w4rma that we should forget about the polls for a while and just concentrate on doing the things we can do - volunteering as poll workers, driving people to the polls, doing phone banking and door-to-door, etc.

[Sinnerman]

11. New Polls.......

Like I said before..... The Poll to watch is Zogby... in 2000 it was a direct hit. Most majors & Faux was way off

[trespam]

14. At this point, what statistical/historical evidence exists for Zogby

Even though Zogby hit it in 2000, what's their long-term performance. Does anyone actually analyze the pollsters to determine how well they predict the actual vote? If not, then I think all this discussion of polsters is hit or miss and largely worthless. All of them.

[LSK]

13. Cheney said he'd win 52-47

Print that out everywhere and make him shove it down this fact next week.

[Az_lefty]

15. Great News!!!!

I hope this is a decisive win so that we actually know who's going to be
the next president on Nov 3rd.

[Zorra]

16. Good news kick.

:)