This is
very tentative of course. And the tone of the article seems somewhat snide and Conservative for what it's worth - a subtle dig at Kerry through guilt by association ("Kim gambled on a Kerry win but now has to face Bush"). It also quotes extensively from Christian missionaries which help many people escape - missionairies can tend to exagerrate and may not have a complete grasp of the politics.
But it's worth a read and hopefully it's correct.
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,2089-1462207_1,00.htmlIn interviews for this article over many months, western policymakers, Chinese experts, North Korean exiles and human rights activists built up a picture of a tightly knit clan leadership in Pyongyang that is on the verge of collapse.
Some of those interviewed believe the “Dear Leader”, Kim Jong-il, has already lost his personal authority to a clique of generals and party cadres. Without any public announcement, governments from Tokyo to Washington are preparing for a change of regime.
The death of Kim’s favourite mistress last summer, a security clampdown on foreign aid workers and a reported assassination attempt in Austria last November against the leader’s eldest son, Kim Jong-nam, have all heightened the sense of disintegration.
<snip>
According to exiles, North Korean agents in Beijing and Ulan Bator are frantically selling assets to raise cash — an important sign, says one activist, because “the secret police can always smell the crisis coming before anybody else”. ***
This might mean nothing. But if true, good news nevertheless.