SignOnSanDiego.com
Political liability
How Democratic chairman Howard Dean is hurting his own party
By Robert J. Caldwell
June 19, 2005
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Statements like "I hate the Republicans and everything they stand for," and "they all look the same, it's pretty much a white, Christian party," and "There's some things you (evangelical Christians) can't possibly agree with me on, such as civil rights for all Americans," and "Republicans...a lot of them have never made an honest living in their lives," and "(Republicans) are mean, they are not nice people," and, on Republicans and Democrats, "this is a struggle of good versus evil, and we're the good" can only be called deeply divisive.
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That explains the marked reticence of Republican National Committee Chairman Ken Mehlman and White House political guru Karl Rove to rise to the bait of Dean's assaults. They recognize that Dean's bombshells are accomplishing two things that greatly favor Republicans. First, Dean's bombast is alienating red-state moderates, swing voters and social conservatives without whom Democrats cannot win national elections. Second, Dean is further aligning the Democratic Party with its MoveOn.org wing of activist liberals; which is ideologically well to the left of the American electorate's center of gravity and, thus, too small to win elections. No, the most telling critiques of Dean and his blowtorch style come not from the GOP but from Democrats.
Prominent Democrats, including Senators Joe Lieberman, Joe Biden, Dianne Feinstein, Barack Obama, Chris Dodd, Ben Nelson, Mark Pryor, Representatives Harold Ford and Steny Hoyer, former Kerry running mate John Edwards, former Clinton Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin, former DNC Chairman Bob Strauss and even such liberals as Ted Kennedy and Barney Frank are saying, in effect, that Dean doesn't speak for them.
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In a recent essay in the DLC's magazine, Blueprint, From and DLC President Bruce Reed laid out their compelling case that only a centrist Democratic Party can win national elections. Implicit in their critique: Dean's red-meat, liberal partisanship would lead the Democrats to defeat, again. From and Reed began by noting, "Since Roosevelt, only two Democratic (presidential) candidates in 15 elections – Johnson in 1964 and Carter in 1976 – have won a majority of the popular vote for president. Only one Democrat – Clinton in 1992 and 1996 – has won election and re-election to the White House."
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"Without its conservative wing, the Democratic Party is increasingly America's liberal party...That puts a particular burden on Democrats. The reason is simple: For half a century, there have been more self-identified conservatives than self-identified liberals in America. In 2004, for example, 34 percent of voters identified themselves as conservatives, while just 21 percent called themselves liberals... Among married people with kids – whom Kerry lost by 19 points – only 16 percent identify themselves as liberals... the 12 red states where Kerry came closest to winning show an average of just 18.6 percent liberals, 36.2 percent conservatives, and 45.2 percent moderates.
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http://www.signonsandiego.com/uniontrib/20050619/news_lz1e19liabil.html Caldwell is editor of the Insight section and can be reached via e-mail at robert.caldwell@uniontrib.com