From the London Observer
(Sunday supplement of the Guardian
Unlimited)
Dated Sunday October 19
Who votes for the executioners?
Both Tony Blair and Iain Duncan Smith could be out by the New Year - and neither MPs nor the people would have had anything to do with it
By Andrew Rawnsley
It is now conceivable - perhaps not likely, but not absolutely impossible either - that by the New Year both Tony Blair and Iain Duncan Smith will be out of their jobs. And if such a sensational double-whammy of decapitations did happen to both the Prime Minister and the Leader of the Opposition, their careers would have been terminated by none of the normal instruments of democracy. Neither the voters nor Parliament will have done it. Nor will their party colleagues, nor their party members. The fates of the leaders of both main parties currently lie in the hands of adjudicators whom no one has ever elected.
The judge with the power to finish Tony Blair over the death of Dr David Kelly is Lord Hutton. The magistrate with the capacity to send down Iain Duncan Smith is Sir Philip Mawer, the Parliamentary Commissioner for Standards, who will rule on whether the Tory leader's wife did the secretarial work for which she was paid from public funds.
Whatever the verdicts, neither the Prime Minister nor the Leader of the Opposition will be in a position to appeal. It was Mr Blair who elevated a Law Lord over the elected to become the judge of him and his Government. To Lord Hutton, if his lordship is so minded, the Prime Minister has handed the authority to condemn him so comprehensively that he would find it hard to remain at Number 10. Mr Duncan Smith has said he will give the fullest co-operation to Sir Philip. A civil servant possesses the potential ability, if he is so minded, to force redundancy upon the Leader of the Opposition.
Of course, come the New Year, either or both Mr Blair and Mr Duncan Smith may still be in their present positions. I do not offer you the prediction that either or both will definitely lose their jobs. What I do observe is that something extraordinary is happening to our democracy when it is conceivable, even slightly conceivable, that both the Prime Minister and the Leader of the Opposition could be ejected on the say-so of a mandarin and a judge.
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Those of us on this side of the Pond who are old enough to remember Watergate might be able to give Mr. Rawlnsley some help. Mr. Blair has assented to an independent investigation, as did Mr. Nixon, because no one believed an investigation through normal channels could be credible. Once it appeared that investigation would find the truth, Nixon tried to put a stop to it, but the outrage simply led to his removal from office.
If the investigation finds against Mr. Blair, he may remember Nixon's trials and tribulations and just go quietly.