http://www.selvesandothers.org/article9746.htmlDemocraticUnderground.com
Did Iran Win the Second US-Iraq War by Default?
FBI Bust May Have Prevented War With Iran
Thursday 2nd June 2005, by Mark Levey
At this point, 1 June 2005, it is clear that both the US and Iraq have come out the losers. Who does that leave to reap the rewards?
Initially, it looked like Israel — at least Likud, and the other right-wing parties — was going to be the big winner, having manipulated its slow-witted Big Uncle to get rid of Saddam at no cost to itself. Until recent weeks, it even appeared likely that BushCo was going to be prodded into making another giant blunder, and would be pushed into bombing Iranian nuclear and missile sites or, at least, enabling the Israel Air Force to do so. Somehow, the prospects of that, and the risk of a general Middle East war, seem to be receding.
Prospects of war receding? Allow me to say that the rush toward war appears to have slowed. For one, those most directly involved in the OSP-AIPAC scandal and prosecutions are all Iran specialists. With the recent indictment of Larry Franklin (Feith’s Iran desk officer) and moves toward prosecution of AIPAC’s Iran expert, Keith Weissman, and the sudden flight back home of their handler at the Israeli Embassy (Naor Gilon, also an Iran specialist), the FBI seems to have rolled up the principal operational officers in the neocon Iran war party.
Another is the stiff resistance which the Bolton nomination has met in the Senate, and the fact that it is also opposed by some very powerful figures in the Administration, the Pentagon, and the intelligence community. Bolton has been one of the loudest voices in the lead up to hostilities with Iran over its alleged nuclear weapons program. It was thought that he would lead the charge at the UN later this month. Instead, Bolton has had the door closed on his face by nervous Senators, and there seems to be an eerie lull in the campaign to sanction Tehran.
Then, last week, the Europeans on the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) agreed to continue talks with Iran over its nascent fuel enrichment program, rather than referring the matter to the UN Security Council for sanctions, as had been threatened.
Finally, unlike last year, George W. Bush did not show up in person to applaud Ariel Sharon’s performance at the annual AIPAC pep rally at the Washington Convention Center last weekend. In fact, after the two met at the Crawford ranch a couple weeks ago, both Ariel and W emerged looking like they had drained each other’s blood. This was in marked contrast to the sprightly prance through the Texas bluebells that Bush took just a few days later with Saudi Crown Prince Abdullah.
There is no doubt that Iran is emerging stronger and more secure in itself and its neighborhood after the BushCo neocons and Likud so overplayed their hands in Iraq. There will be hell to pay for their strategic blunder, and it appears that the next round of blood-letting may be within the corridors of power in Washington and Jerusalem, rather than along the East Coast of the Persian Gulf.
By the same authors
Mark Levey
Perjury by CIA Counterterrorism Center Director
Blair Ignored Most Obvious Lesson of 9/11
Sharon’s Green Light
P.S. - Round and round we go, where she stops, no one knows. But, I still think the Establishment knows enough not to overplay this one.