By Mike Whitney
Online Journal Contributing Writer
http://onlinejournal.com/artman/publish/article_1183.shtml<snip>
With wages stagnating since the 1970s, the increase in home equity has been the preferred method for most Americans to “get ahead.” Housing prices have steadily increased since the 1980s and skyrocketed in the last five years. This has created a feeding-frenzy for low interest loans and attracted millions of speculators and (traditionally) unqualified applicants to the real estate gold rush.
It’s been a great deal for the banks, too. Mortgages make up the bulk of the banks' loans in America, more than $400 billion last year alone. If it weren’t for the steady steam of mortgages, many banks would have seen negative growth in the last decade. Now that housing prices are flattening out and expected to fall (precipitously), the easy money has dried up and many over-leveraged homeowners are facing the dismal prospect of having to pay off an asset that is quickly losing its value. Economist Michael Hudson calls this phenomenon “negative equity,” that is, when the current value of the house falls beneath the amount that one has to pay on his mortgage. It is a predicament which now faces an estimated 30 million Americans who are drowning in red ink and skittering towards a life of indentured servitude.
The magnitude of the housing bubble is shocking and unprecedented. According to the Federal Reserve's own figures, “The total amount of residential housing wealth in the US just about doubled between 1999 and 2006, up from $10.4 trillion to $20.4 trillion.”(Times Online) This tells us that the Fed had a clear idea of the size of the equity balloon their low interest policies were creating, but decided not to take corrective action. It also tells us that there will be no “soft landing.” When the market begins to fall, no one knows when it will hit bottom. Ten trillion dollars are more than a “little froth,” as Greenspan opined; it is an earth-shaking, economy-busting catastrophe that will put millions at risk of foreclosure, bankruptcy and ruin.
Greenspan and the privately-owned Fed played a major role in putting us in this mess by rubber-stamping the new system of precarious loans (no down payments, interest-only loans, ARMs) and perpetuating their “cheap money” policies. Greenspan admitted this a few months ago when he said that current housing increases were “unsustainable” and would have corrected long ago if not for the “the dramatic increase in the prevalence of interest-only loans . . . and more exotic forms of adjustable rate mortgages that enable marginally-qualified, highly leveraged borrowers to purchase homes at inflated prices.”...