http://www.smirkingchimp.com/thread/6430Bernanke Lies. Lies. Lies. Lies.
by Stirling Newberry | Mar 29 2007
Ben Bernanke is a conservative inflationist. As George Will said about another bundle of contradictions, both the noun and the adjective are correct. We are used to seeing liberal inflationists, that we forget that conservative inflationists are historically normal for monarchies, and are species against which the original "liberals" as we now think of people like Hume and Smith, railed against their excesses.
And now we know something else about Ben Bernanke.
He lies. Lies. Lies. Lies, all Lies. We should have known this, Ben Bernanke the economist has Ben Bernanke the central banker pegged - a lying cheating discretion abusing political hack willing to risk inflation for short term political gain. That is the picture that Bernanke painted of central bankers as an economist, is it any wonder that is how he behaves? Half of the conservatives in the world - from Foley and Falwell, through Tammy Faye Baker and a good chunk of any hierarchical society want rules to save them from themselves.
Greenspan obfusticated, I was known for doing a pretty good Greenspeek both in person and in print. It wasn't hard once you knew which indicators he followed and how he qualified things. After that it was a matter of giving a very nuanced discussion of why he was going to to exact thus and such. Greenspan warned you when he was going to drop a safe on your head. He was called the Maestro, because most investors are subs who just need to be told what to do. Greenspan, for example told people to get out of interest rate sensitive investments when he started his slow campaign of raising interest rates. You know, like housing. Giving investors a nearly 2 year lead on the oncoming train is more than fair. An early investing rule I learned was "Don't fight the Fed".
Well Bernanke is adding another. Don't trust the Fed. It's all lies. Lies. Lies. Lies.
"Overall, the economy appears likely to continue to expand at a moderate pace over the coming quarters. As the inventory of unsold new homes is worked off, the drag from residential investment should wane. Consumer spending appears solid, and business investment seems likely to post moderate gains," he said.
"At this juncture, the impact on the broader economy and financial markets of the problems in the sub-prime market seems likely to be contained."
Simply put, this isn't true, even from Bernanke's point of view. I now understand why academics didn't get Bernanke. In academentia people very seldom actually lie. However, they often say things which must be parsed carefully, compartmentalized, and checked for the subsidiary meaning of the exact definition of the words. For example, if the head of a department says "I am not sleeping with that student" - it means they are getting on in the office and the student leaves to sleep in his or her own bed. Bill Clinton was the master of parslish in the political arena. However the above quotes aren't correct from the data that is floating across Bernanke's desk as this morning's sluggish GDP release - which I am sure he had in hand when he made the remarks shows. There are signs of contagion in the housing market all over the place.
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