http://www.thedemocraticstrategist.org/strategist/2009/02/bipartisanship_and_obamas_appr.phpA very interesting discussion has broken out between two titans of the polling-analysis business, Mark Blumenthal of pollster.com and Nate Silver of fivethirtyeight.com. Nate has been exploring the theory (beloved of some Obama critics in the blogosphere) that
the President's rhetoric of bipartisanship on the economic stimulus legislation has blurred his message even as rank-and-file Republicans move decisively against him, producing net losses in his approval ratings without producing any offsetting benefits. Mark responded with alternative explanations of the slight drop in Obama's approval ratings as entirely predictable, and suggested that a more partisan approach might have worsened them significantly.
Here's the nut graph of Mark's argument:
evidence of the limits of bipartisanship? Let's remember that Obama holds an overall approval rating that most polls now peg in the mid-sixty percent range, after winning with 52.9% of the votes cast. Doesn't the aggregate approval rating, including approval from roughly a third of Republicans, say something about the benefits of the "bipartisan" messaging? And how will those Republican and Republican leaning independents respond to harsher partisan rhetoric from the President?
(It's worth noting that the most recent Democracy Corps poll also found a third of Republican voters supporting Obama's "policies and goals").
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I hope this makes the "Greatest Page"