The new U.S. Treasury secretary, Timothy Geithner, has been in office for all of - what? - two weeks? He is charged with fixing the most terrifying financial crisis in nearly 80 years. He is under intense pressure to do something big - and to do it fast.
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Arbess added: "You've got a situation here that has been in the making for decades. Everybody knows it is complex. It's not going to be resolved in two weeks." Point well taken.
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The truth is, solving a financial crisis amounts to a kind of sophisticated, high-stakes guessing game. Every proposed solution also has the potential to backfire. As the bank chieftains who testified before Congress said repeatedly Wednesday - when they weren't either groveling or listening stoically to congressional scoldings - reigniting the banking system has to start with re-establishing confidence.
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As I polled my Talking Business kitchen cabinet this week, gauging reaction to the Treasury secretary's plan, I kept hearing the same refrain.
"We've got to get on with it," said Christopher Whalen, the respected bank analyst who publishes the Institutional Risk Analyst newsletter.
"We need to take over the banks," said Joshua Rosner, a managing director of the research firm Graham-Fisher.
"When I talk to experts, after about two minutes they say, 'We should just nationalize,"' said Simon Johnson, a banking expert at the Sloan School of Business at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. "That tells me that the consensus is moving in this direction, and we are all just afraid to say it."
http://www.iht.com/articles/2009/02/13/business/wbjoe14.php