Given how hot the water is in the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico, together with the end of the El Nino, the forecasters have been predicting this would be a bang-up hurricane season. But it hasn't been -- potential storms keep fizzling out or just failing to spin up. The Pacific isn't having much of a storm season, either.
Dr. Jeff Masters was suggesting in his Weather Underground blog today that this is because the atmosphere over the oceans has been unusually stable. And though no one is sure just why, one theory is that it's actually a result of the heat waves. The heat creates rising air over the continents, which translates into sinking air over the oceans -- and that inhibits storm formation.
He also suggests that if this is really what's happening, it means when the Russian heat wave ends, which is expected about 10 days from now, all hell could break loose -- since the energy bottled up in that warm water has to go somewhere, sometime.
http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/article.html