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chill_wind (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Thu Nov-11-10 03:39 PM Original message |
September 2010: 300 Economists Told Obama: Focus on Jobs, not the Deficit |
Anybody else remember this letter and the advice in it? Seems as timely as ever.
300 Economists Warn Obama: Grave Danger Ahead Thursday, 09/16/2010 - 2:37 pm by Bryce Covert | Three hundred economists released a letter to President Obama today with one message: focus on jobs, not on the deficit. Robert Borosage, co-director of the Institute for America’s Future and one of the authors of the statement, said the letter is “a call for action on the economy and a return to economic common sense” in a conference call with the media this morning. This is not the time for balancing the budget and slashing the deficit, he pointed out; rather, it is “the time for bold initiatives to rebuild America and to generate jobs and growth.” http://www.newdeal20.org/2010/09/16/300-economists-warn-obama-grave-danger-ahead-20341/ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- What they said: In the fall of 2008 the U.S. and other major economies were in a free fall in the wake of a global financial crisis. Emergency stimulus policies here and around the world broke the fall, but brought us only part way to full recovery. Today there is a grave danger that the still-fragile economic recovery will be undercut by austerity economics. A turn by major governments away from the promotion of growth and jobs and to premature focus on deficit reduction could slow growth and increase unemployment – and could push us back into recession. History suggests that a tenuous recovery is no time to practice austerity. In the Great Depression, Franklin Roosevelt’s New Deal generated growth and reduced the unemployment rate from 25 percent in 1932 to less than 10 percent in 1937. However, the deficit hawks of that era persuaded President Roosevelt to reverse course prematurely and move toward budget balance. The result was a severe recession that caused the economy to contract sharply and sent the unemployment rate soaring. Only the much larger wartime spending of the early 1940s produced a full recovery. Today, the economy is growing only weakly. 7.8 million jobs have been lost in the recession. Consumers, having suffered losses in home values and retirement savings, are tightening their belts. The business sector, uncertain about consumer spending, is reluctant to invest in expansion or job creation, leaving the economy trapped on a path of slow growth or stagnation. Over 20 million American workers are now unemployed, underemployed or simply have given up looking for a job. The President and Congress should redouble efforts to create jobs and send aid to the states whose budget crises threaten recovery by forcing them to lay off school teachers, public safety workers, and other essential workers. It also makes sense to invest in public service jobs – and in infrastructure projects for transportation, water, and energy conservation that will make our economy more productive for years to come. ECONOMISTS WARN OUR POLITICAL LEADERS: DON’T KILL GROWTH AND JOBS IN THE NAME OF DEFICIT REDUCTION. Target what drives deficits. Don’t fix what isn’t broken. Austerity advocates confuse two different issues—short term deficits generated by the recession and long term projections of deficits and debt. Deficits rose last decade largely due to the Bush tax cuts and the unfunded wars and prescription drug program, but they exploded as a result of the economic crisis. Once prosperity is restored, deficits will be reduced substantially. Over the long term, projections of rising deficits and debt are mainly due to one fundamental factor: rising health care costs. Contrary to the claims of many deficit hawks, America does not have an entitlement crisis. America has a broken health care system. Efforts to reduce public sector costs without fixing the health care system, such as caps on Medicare and Medicaid spending or replacing them with vouchers, will undermine the effectiveness of these programs, but won’t fix the broken health care system. The health care reform bill passed earlier this year may be a first step towards repairing the health care system, but much more will need to be done. Social Security has nothing to do with our current deficit. It is supported by its own dedicated payroll taxes (which were increased to build up a trust fund to cover the baby boomers’ retirement). Social Security has actually reduced the unified budget deficit for the most of the last three decades and will continue to do so for most of the next decade. Making sure Social Security is solvent for the next century should be dealt with separately from any process set up to address short or long-term deficits, and can be accomplished with minor adjustments. Restore fiscal responsibility, while investing in the future. The president’s National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform has set a goal of reducing the Federal deficit to 3 percent of GDP by 2015. It is not clear that this arbitrary target can be met without damaging our recovery. In any case, the goals of economic policy must be far broader. The most important question is this: What will drive economic growth, job creation and prosperity in the years to come? Conservatives argue that we should simply reduce deficits and wait for the next economic boom. But the last boom was built on a bubble, inflated by unsustainable household debt and financial speculation. If we focus merely on cutting spending and raising taxes, the economy could shrink again – or stay stuck in a permanently low level of growth and high levels of unemployment. President Barack Obama has called on us to build a new foundation for the economy. This requires making investments vital to our future – in education and training, in research and development, in a modern infrastructure for the 21st century. It requires ending our addiction to oil, and capturing a lead role in the green industrial revolution, creating the next generation of green jobs. Study after study demonstrates that America has a huge “public investment deficit” in areas vital to our economy. Some estimates suggest a shortfall in public investment of as much as $500 billion a year. As long as we have unacceptably high unemployment, outlays for additional investment can be deficit-financed. But once we achieve a robust recovery, our country should continue to pay for productive public investment, while acting to bring down public deficits. This will require new revenues. We must have the confidence to forge our future. At the end of World War II, the US was burdened with debt that totaled over 120% of GDP. But we made the investments vital to a new economy – the GI Bill, housing subsidies, the interstate highway system, the conversion of military plants, and the Marshall plan. We ran annual deficits over most of the next three decades and the debt grew in absolute size, but the economy and the broad middle class grew faster. By 1980, the debt had been reduced to barely 30% of GDP. The better way to reduce the deficit as a percent of GDP is to increase GDP. Even with a growing economy, increased investment and deficit reduction will require new sources of revenue, new priorities and a crackdown on wasteful subsidies. Below are a range of measures which could be used to reduce the deficit and finance needed investments. Not all signers endorse every one of these options: Any effort to cut spending should address the military budget, which consumes over half of discretionary spending. Much of our huge military spending is devoted to weapons designed to counter a Soviet Union that is no more. Defense experts estimate we could achieve significant Pentagon savings – in the range of $100 billion per year – while still sustaining the most powerful military in the world. We can use funds freed up to invest in new manufacturing industries that make our nation more secure. Second, we should cut back the massive amounts wasted on outmoded subsidies – billions to the oil industry, to wasteful farm subsidies, and tax loopholes benefitting a few, with little productive return. On the revenue side, in an era of Gilded Age inequality, progressive tax reform is long overdue. Revenue for reducing deficits and increasing investment can be raised by making taxes more progressive and by taxing activities we want to discourage. Some examples: • A small tax on financial transactions (e.g. 0.025 percent on credit default swaps) would reduce high volume speculation and would produce revenues of at least $177 billion per year.. • The Wyden-Gregg corporate loophole-closing proposals produce $1.078 trillion over ten years. • Taxing hedge fund mangers’ “carried interest” income as regular income gains $3 billion per year. • End special tax treatment of capital gains income. Revenue: $480 billion over ten years. • A 5.4 percent surcharge on high incomes (passed by the House) produces $500 billion over ten years. • A carbon tax would help reverse climate change. Revenue: $500 billion over ten years. • End Bush tax cuts for people making more than 250k. Revenue: $678 billion over ten years. • One version of a progressive estate tax on large fortunes would generate $50 billion per year. Any value-added tax that amounts to a regressive sales tax on the working middle class should not be part of this package. There may be a future case for a VAT, perhaps to fund progressive social programs or replace even more regressive taxes, but not for deficit reduction. Take the high road to fiscal balance. There are two alternative paths to long-term fiscal balance. The less desirable path is austerity economics: government sharply cuts spending long before full employment is reached; production stagnates; revenues decline. We might reach budget balance but at a lower level of economic output, with increased taxes on working Americans and reduced public services. The alternative, high-road path would increase public spending financed by deficits for a year or two until unemployment is definitely on a downward trend and GDP is rising rapidly. We then collect more revenues from a stronger economy. By identifying investments vital to our future, and paying for them with targeted spending cuts and progressive tax reforms, our country provides the basis for new private-sector investments that help fuel growth, generating greater revenues while reducing the deficit. The benefit of this second path is that government moves towards a reduction in annual deficits and a lowering of the debt-to-GDP ratio, at a higher level of economic output, while building a new basis for long-term prosperity. http://dontkilljobs.org/ downloadable pdf (10 pages) http://ourfuture.org/files/documents/don%27t-kill-growth-and-jobs.pdf ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FACT: The projected deficit—which seems like a huge number—isn't that huge. As pointed out by Paul Krugman and Dean Baker, our debt-service burden is about the same as that of 1992 under President H.W. Bush. A Progressive Approach To Deficit Reduction http://www.ourfuture.org/fact-sheets-briefs/2010041409/progressive-approach-deficit-reduction |
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HereSince1628 (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Thu Nov-11-10 03:43 PM Response to Original message |
1. If only it had been 300 corporations traded on the big board. |
THAT might have held some sway.
Academics? Plaaaaaaaaahhhhhhhh! A bad taste in the mouth! |
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glitch (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Thu Nov-11-10 04:04 PM Response to Reply #1 |
4. Or even just one retired hedge fund billionaire. |
Specifically Pete Petersen.
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chill_wind (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Thu Nov-11-10 04:15 PM Response to Reply #4 |
5. +1 |
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ladjf (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Thu Nov-11-10 03:49 PM Response to Original message |
2. But the Republicans told him to do something about the deficit. nt |
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chill_wind (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Thu Nov-11-10 03:54 PM Response to Original message |
3. Signatures & Endorsers. They've tried. |
Institutional affiliations are provided for identification purposes only. Statement Authors Robert Borosage and Roger Hickey, Institute for America's Future Dean Baker, Center for Economic and Policy Research Robert Kuttner, The American Prospect and Dēmos Endorsers Economists Tanweer Akram | Senior Economist, ING Investment Management Randy Albelda | University of Massachusetts Boston Sylvia Allegretto | University of California, Berkeley Gar Alperovitz | University of Maryland Nancy Altman | Social Security Works Eileen Appelbaum | Rutgers University Diane Archer | Institute for America’s Future Michael Ash | University of Massachusetts Amherst Nahid Aslanbeigui | Monmouth University Marshall Auerback | Roosevelt Institute Reuven Avi-Yonah | University of Michigan Hillel Bachrach | 20/20 HealthCare Partners LLC M. V. Lee Badgett | University of Massachusetts Amherst Ron Baiman | Center for Tax and Budget Accountability Dean Baker | Center for Economic and Policy Research Radhika Balakrishnan | Rutgers University Nesecan Balkan | Hamilton College Nina Banks | Bucknell University William Barclay| Chicago Political Economy Group Chuck Barone| Dickinson College Michael Belzer| Wayne State University Lourdes Beneria| Cornell University Barbara R. Bergmann| American University Alexandra Bernasek| Colorado State University Cihan Bilginsoy| University of Utah Cyrus Bina| University of Minnesota (Morris Campus) Angela Glover Blackwell| PolicyLink Howard Botwinick| State University of New York , Cortland Roger Bove| West Chester University (Retired) Paula Braveman| University of California, San Francisco Clair Brown| University of California Berkeley E. Richard Brown| University of California Los Angeles Robert Buchele| Smith College Cruz Bueno| University of Massachusetts–Amherst Jim Campen| University of Massachusetts Boston (emeritus) Colin S. Cavell, Ph.D.| University of Bahrain American Studies Center John Chasse| Association for Evolutionary Economics Howard Chernick| Hunter College CUNY Paul Christensen| Hofstra University Steve Clemons| New America Foundation Anne Cobb| Empire State College Lizabeth Cohen| Harvard University James Crotty| University of Massachusetts Amherst James Cypher| California State University Fresno Diana Da| Diana Dai Communications Inc. Peter Damiano| The University of Iowa Anita Dancs| Western New England College Jane D’Arista| PERI/SAFER Paul A David| Stanford University Paul Davidson| University of Tennessee Susan M. Davis| Buffalo State College Charles Davis| Indiana University John Davis| Marquette University Anthony D’Costa| Asia Research Centre Amy B. Dean| Author, “A New New Deal” Gregory DeFreitas| Hofstra University James Devine| Loyola Marymount University Ranjit Dighe| SUNY College at Oswego David Doane| Oakland University Karen Dolan| Institute for Policy Studies G. William Domhoff| University of California, Santa Cruz Peter Dorman| Evergreen State College Amitava Dutt| University of Notre Dame Gary Dymski| University of California Riverside Todd Easton| University of Portland Gary Edelman| Edelman & Associates Barbara Ehrenreich| Author, “Nickeled and Dimed” Justin Elardo| Portland Community College Zohreh Emami| Alverno College Brian England| University of Utah Gerald Epstein| University of Massachusetts at Amherst Jeff Faux| Economic Policy Institute Steven Fazzari| Washington University Rashi Fein| Harvard University Susan Feiner| University of Southern Maine Thomas Ferguson| University of Massachusetts, Boston and Roosevelt Institute Rudy Fichtenbaum| Wright State University David Fields| University of Utah Catherine Finnoff| University of Massachusetts at Amherst Richard Flacks| University of California, Santa Barbara Nancy Folbre| University of Massachusetts at Amherst Robert Francis| Shoreline Community College Robert Frank| Cornell University Gerald Friedman| University of Massachusetts at Amherst James K. 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chill_wind (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Nov-12-10 10:26 AM Response to Original message |
6. kick |
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Catherina (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Nov-12-10 12:15 PM Response to Original message |
7. Rec'd n/t |
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katty (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Nov-12-10 04:45 PM Response to Original message |
8. U.S. Gov can file bankruptcy and start creating jobs HERE |
Edited on Fri Nov-12-10 04:47 PM by katty
...and really F*** the Fed and Euro Fed that have behaved with impunity and criminality for a very long time (along with a plethora of partners in crime) , the transnationals that get huge tax breaks here and have sold America down the river, creating/maintaining jobs for cheap labor overseas. Screw China and the House of Saud, we need to make some really hard calls now.
-The richest and most powerful are set for life, so now they ask, ....what do we do with all these people that are out of work? They don't care about the unemployed (that is obvious) and they are the ones calling the shots in our government, their solution? just cut any program that helps 'the people' (because who really cares....and the people are already living off the bare bones) and reduce the deficit that is SO HIGH now it will NEVER be reduced to any acceptable level, so what effect will that really have? (when you don't create jobs for more tax revenues?!-it is a hostile, political solution). - yes, the above is a pipe dream as our U.S. Government has gone out of its way over the last decades to create and promote this dire situation we find ourselves in-and it is not going to magically go away. |
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