... here Paul Krugman dissects the myth that austerity is the only approach to be taken immediately. Thanks to M$M pretty much entirely ignoring those who have been saying that economic STIMULUS is what is needed now, while dealing with the Bush Deficit can be dealt with after stimulus is used to get the economy restarted.
Emphases are my own.....
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/07/02/opinion/02krugman.html?ref=paulkrugman
For the last few months, I and others have watched, with amazement and horror, the emergence of a consensus in policy circles in favor of immediate fiscal austerity. That is, somehow it has become conventional wisdom that now is the time to slash spending, despite the fact that the world’s major economies remain deeply depressed.
This conventional wisdom isn’t based on either evidence or careful analysis. Instead, it rests on what we might charitably call sheer speculation, and less charitably call figments of the policy elite’s imagination — specifically, on belief in what I’ve come to think of as the invisible bond vigilante and the confidence fairy.
Bond vigilantes are investors who pull the plug on governments they perceive as unable or unwilling to pay their debts. Now there’s no question that countries can suffer crises of confidence (see Greece, debt of). But what the advocates of austerity claim is that (a) the bond vigilantes are about to attack America, and (b) spending anything more on stimulus will set them off.
What reason do we have to believe that any of this is true? Yes, America has long-run budget problems, but what we do on stimulus over the next couple of years has almost no bearing on our ability to deal with these long-run problems. As Douglas Elmendorf, the director of the Congressional Budget Office, recently put it, “There is no intrinsic contradiction between providing additional fiscal stimulus today, while the unemployment rate is high and many factories and offices are underused, and imposing fiscal restraint several years from now, when output and employment will probably be close to their potential.”
(more)
Prof. Krugman did leave out another cause for the "austerity now" fervor. The cause he left out is the political calculation by the Red State Brigade which are doing everything they can to kill off any possible recovery the Dems can fashion to the GOP's Trickle Down - Deregulation Disaster - to enable them to chant: "Obama is killing the economy". This is the actual basis of the "austerity now" crusade by the GOPers who a few years ago passed tax cuts (50% of which went to the top few percent in terms of income in the country) which helped create the Trickle Down Disaster (by increasing concentration of wealth) - while asserting that
"Deficits don't matter".
The hypocrisy of the GOPer insistence on "austerity now" is further revealed by their refusal to allow an end to the temporary tax cuts - for the wealthiest (whose incomes went up rapidly since the Shrub was selected by the Supremes, while the median real income for all citizens went
down) while tax levels in the U.S. are
at a 50 year low. The wealthiest are not job creators, adequate aggregate demand is what leads to increased sales and profits for businesses and greater job creation - to take advantage of the increased demand for goods and services. Increased aggregate demand is fostered by reducing the tax burden on the middle class which during the Bush regime was increased by the Bush tax cuts which went mostly to the most wealthy.