The Times
By Gerard Baker
George W. Bush has a difficult year ahead of him
ONE of President Bush’s more memorable malapropisms of last year was his description of the Iraq war as a “catastrophic success”.
The President was attempting to explain the difficulties that arose from American forces’ unexpectedly quick military triumph across Iraq so soon after the invasion in 2003.
But, as he looks back on a year that culminated in a remarkable personal and political victory, and looks forward to a second term loaded with potential dangers, Mr Bush might come to see the phrase as an apt description of his own re-election.
The outlook for the President — from the war in Iraq and the proliferation of challenges posed by Iran and North Korea, to relations with Europe and his bold domestic agenda for radical tax and spending reform — is not encouraging. The judgment of some Democrats during last year’s campaign that this could be a good election to lose looks like an astute one.
History, too, suggests that second-term presidencies are rarely successful ones.
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,3-1421674,00.html