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Regardless of who wins in NOV, I think this era has a limited shelf life. Decay has set in and it's on its way out. Why do I think this?
I think that most of us can agree that Rush Limbaugh essentially gave birth to the huge institution of conservative talk radio that exists today. (There's a visual for you.) I can't trace the whole chronology of this to you, but certainly 8 years of a Democratic White House complete with scandals both real and imagined helped greatly.
But in addition to this I would have to say that Rush Limbaugh also had talent. Yes, you heard me, he had real talent as a radio entertainer, in the way that a guy like Howard Stern (who despises Rush) has a particular type of talent. That's what these shows, including McLaughlin and Crossfire are, by the way, entertainment. Some of it more entertaining than others. Very few aspire to actually enlighten.
Now I probably disagree with virtually everything that comes out of the guy's mouth, but I remember years ago occasionally listening to portions of his show while driving and flipping stations. There is a reason the guy became as huge (in a media sense, LOL) as he is. He has, or had, an acerbic, if rather nasty, wit to him and was clever in his use of audio bits. When I've listened to bits of his show recently since his personal scandal erupted, I think he's too consumed by his demons or just tired by it all and he has definitely lost "it".
Just like any huge success, the clones follow. And basically, the rather simple formula seems to be: Have a show with conservative or pro Republican politics. Be a loud blowhard, and proud of it. Be angry and shout a lot, both in your monologues and shouting down dissenting guests, if you even allow them. By all means screen your callers and guests so you don't have to engage in any fair debate. If possible select "opposition" callers with obviously weak intellect or debating skills who will be easy marks. If you find yourself losing an argument with a caller or guest despite all this careful screening, shout them down, call them names and/or hang up on them.
Easy formula. The guys who got in earlier on this like O'Reilly and Hannity have been able to make their millions with their lame shows and books while the phenomenon was still hot.
However as with the cheap clones of any phenomenon, most will lack any real spark of talent. A good example is Coulter who is just a walking screamfest, a novelty because of gender, good for several million from a few books but her time will clearly fade quickly. Hannity and O'Reilly are also basically no talent badgering bullies. Even though he is a disgusting cretin, I recognize real talent in the on-air verbal skills of Michael Savage (Weiner?), no doubt a product of his bohemian background (does he ever even discuss or disavow this on his show?). But most of these shows have a quality of sameness to them.
The bottom line is, with the proliferation of all the no-talents and uniformity of message, the whole thing just gets boring. The entertainment value is minimal, even when preaching to the faithful. When I see the conservative media discussed on freerepublic, even a majority of folks there call attention to the fact that Hannity and O'Reilly are no-talent, unintelligent blowhards who just shout and interrupt everyone's sentence all the time and hit the same note (Hannity: "You just can't bring yourself to say anything good about this president, can you?"). It is widely acknowledged even there that all these shows including Rush must get some kind of talking points from Druge/RNC because they all immediately hit the same points as soon as some bogus rumor comes out on Drudge, and sound the same. (I call this the Rumor/Drudge/Rush/Fox echo chamber--where the original source is a rumor, probably half from Rove, which then acquires "legitimacy" as these conservative news organs breathlessly report on what the previous "echo" has said rather than an original verified source.) These are all things I have seen the freerepublic people say in their threads on this topic, and not just a small minority of them either.
So I think with the dearth of talent and lack of variety, there is little entertainment value and the whole thing will collapse of its own weight because politics aside, the sponsorship will not continue to support this indefinitely if the viewer/listernship is not there. It's not entertaining, and quite honestly most of it is really negative and just brings you down. Tim Robbins is quoted in Michael Moore's book asking why the hell are these guys so angry, they have all the power etc. All the anger and negativity is rather offputting.
As to the viability of liberal oriented programming, I think the "conventional" reasoning one hears about how this is not viable because liberals are so diverse in opinion and message, and are "earnest" and not funny, etc. is so much crap. These shows don't exist now largely because corporate ownership like Clear Channel and Fox would never allow it. I was in the San Francisco Bay area in November, the most liberal part of the country, driving through towns declared as nuclear free zones etc. and the only talk radio I could find was disgusting angry right wing screed. Are you kidding me? The average person in Oakland or SF is a Michael Savage fan?
There's way more talent, entertaining personality wise, on the liberal side of the aisle, for so many reasons not even worth going into here (maybe others can elaborate in a continuation of this thread). Even though I haven't watched a lot of it, I get the distinct impression "The Daily Show" thwangs on the administration more than on liberals even though they probably have a lot more Dem material now with primaries. I don't know if this can be called a liberal slant or not, but Jon Stewart is freakin' funny. And even my right wing colleagues can't help but laugh at the guy's jokes even when he's making fun of their heroes.
Rove and co. would like to paint a picture of a monolithic, conservative, pro-Bush country that hates liberals. If this were true, could 4/5 NYT bestsellers be anti administration books? Clearly the market is there. It's just that the publishing world is not yet owned by Ruper Murdoch or Clear Channel. Even if the anti bush or liberal crowd was a distinct minority, it is a sizeable and passionate enough minority not only to turn elections in NOV (we hope it happens) but also to be an excellent market for appropriate news and entertainment media. The concept is really not tested yet. I just hope that if any successful liberal media outlets/networks get established that they don't get into the ridicuolous trap of political orthodoxy that the right wingers have done.
I am interested in your thoughts on this.
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