Beat to the punch while I'm off researching, as usual.
Well, I'll give you the whole enchilada anyway -- I'm not gonna let this go to waste:
So, if Bush never
said "Saddam (or Iraq) was an 'imminent threat,'" where did the phrase come from?
For starters, from Bush's own National Security Strategy, issued in September, 2002 -- the short but to-the-point document that lays out the Bush administration's defense policy:
For centuries, international law recognized that nations need not suffer an attack before they can lawfully take action to defend themselves against forces that present an imminent danger of attack. Legal scholars and international jurists often conditioned the legitimacy of preemption on the existence of an imminent threat—most often a visible mobilization of armies, navies, and air forces preparing to attack.
We must adapt the concept of imminent threat to the capabilities and objectives of today’s adversaries. Rogue states and terrorists do not seek to attack us using conventional means. ...
The United States has long maintained the option of preemptive actions to counter a sufficient threat to our national security. The greater the threat, the greater is the risk of inaction— and the more compelling the case for taking anticipatory action to defend ourselves, even if uncertainty remains as to the time and place of the enemy’s attack. To forestall or prevent such hostile acts by our adversaries, the United States will, if necessary, act preemptively.
The rest of the paper is worth reading -- which is more than your freepie adversaries will ever do. Here's the link:
http://www.whitehouse.gov/nsc/nss5.htmlThe wormiest freeps will still argue that Bush never
said "imminent threat." Your answer is: "It didn't have to come out of his smarmy little mouth in order for him to 'say' it."
Your point being: The National Security Strategy is the official position of the White House. And who's White House is that? (No sloughing the blame off on Condi Rice or Stephen Hadley
this time!)
Now, keeping the NSS in mind, let's turn to Shrub's October 7, 2002, speech in Cincinnati. I love going over this speech with a fine-tooth comb -- it's just a cornucopia of deceptions, half-truths, quarter-truths, and 1/64th truths, and great fun to pounce all over at any opportunity.
But enough about me -- the important thing to remember here is that this speech draws heavily from Bush's National Security Strategy, published a scant month earlier.
Following are the points most pertinent to our discussion. Notice, not once does the Boy King use the phrase "imminent threat" in reference to Saddam Hussein, or Iraq. He
misleads you (and just about every left-leaning politician and pundit on the planet) to that line of thought -- but never do the actual words once leave his smirking little maw.
Notice how many times he uses the word "threat" (I count ten in just the excerpts below), and how many times he uses "imminent" (once) or synonyms or convenient substitutes for "imminent" (i.e., "urgent," "grave," "significant," "moving ever closer," "put us on notice," etc.):
Tonight I want to take a few minutes to discuss a grave threat to peace, and America's determination to lead the world in confronting that threat.
The threat comes from Iraq. ...
Members of the Congress of both political parties, and members of the United Nations Security Council, agree that Saddam Hussein is a threat to peace and must disarm. ...
While there are many dangers in the world, the threat from Iraq stands alone ...
The danger is already significant, and it only grows worse with time. If we know Saddam Hussein has dangerous weapons today -- and we do -- does it make any sense for the world to wait to confront him as he grows even stronger and develops even more dangerous weapons? ...
Iraq possesses ballistic missiles with a likely range of hundreds of miles -- far enough to strike Saudi Arabia, Israel, Turkey, and other nations ... We've also discovered through intelligence that Iraq has a growing fleet of manned and unmanned aerial vehicles that could be used to disperse chemical or biological weapons across broad areas. ...
Iraq could decide on any given day to provide a biological or chemical weapon to a terrorist group or individual terrorists. ...
Many people have asked how close Saddam Hussein is to developing a nuclear weapon. ...
If the Iraqi regime is able to produce, buy, or steal an amount of highly enriched uranium a little larger than a single softball, it could have a nuclear weapon in less than a year ...
Knowing these realities, America must not ignore the threat gathering against us. Facing clear evidence of peril, we cannot wait for the final proof -- the smoking gun -- that could come in the form of a mushroom cloud. ...
Understanding the threats of our time, knowing the designs and deceptions of the Iraqi regime, we have every reason to assume the worst, and we have an urgent duty to prevent the worst from occurring.
...Saddam Hussein still has chemical and biological weapons and is increasing his capabilities to make more. And he is moving ever closer to developing a nuclear weapon. ...
And that is why we are urging the Security Council to adopt a new resolution setting out tough, immediate requirements. ... And inspectors must have access to any site, at any time, without pre-clearance, without delay, without exceptions. ...
Some have argued we should wait -- and that's an option. In my view, it's the riskiest of all options, because the longer we wait, the stronger and bolder Saddam Hussein will become. ...
Saddam Hussein's actions have put us on notice, and there is no refuge from our responsibilities. ...
-- Cincinnati, October 7, 2002
http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2002/10/20021007-8.htmlNext, remember what I said about Jack Straw stating that Tony Blair never said "imminent" threat, either -- but he most certainly did say Saddam might be capable of launching WMD within 45 minutes?
Now, you tell me: Does "45 minutes" seem "imminent"?
Bushie Boy echoed that "45 minutes" claim repeatedly (and then squirmed out of it by saying he was only repeating what the Brits said -- which is technically true, but still slimy):
The Iraqi regime is building the facilities necessary to make more biological and chemical weapons. And according to the British government, the Iraqi regime could launch a biological or chemical attack in as little as 45 minutes after the order were given.
President Bush Discusses Iraq with Congressional Leaders, September 26, 2002
http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2002/09/20020926-7.htmlThe Iraqi regime possesses biological and chemical weapons, is rebuilding the facilities to make more and, according to the British government, could launch a biological or chemical attack in as little as 45 minutes after the order is given.
Radio Address, September 28, 2002
http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2002/09/20020928.htmlSo, did Bush never, ever actually say "imminent threat"? No, he didn't.
He did, however,
write it:
Text of a Letter from the President to the Speaker of the House of Representatives and the President Pro Tempore of the Senate
Due to our success in Afghanistan, we have detained hundreds of al-Qaida and Taliban fighters who are believed to pose a continuing threat to the United States and its interests. ...
In furtherance of our worldwide efforts against terrorists who pose a continuing and imminent threat to the United States, our friends and allies, and our forces abroad, we continue operations in other areas around the globe. ...
Sincerely,
GEORGE W. BUSH
Other speeches to read carefully (which is easier than having to
listen to this drek):
2003 SOTU, which includes much of the same; e.g.:
Today, the gravest danger in the war on terror, the gravest danger facing America and the world, is outlaw regimes that seek and possess nuclear, chemical, and biological weapons. These regimes could use such weapons for blackmail, terror, and mass murder. They could also give or sell those weapons to terrorist allies, who would use them without the least hesitation.
http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2003/01/20030128-19.htmlAlso (but not half as interesting):
President Signs Iraq Resolution
October 16, 2002
http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2002/10/iraq/20021016-1.htmlPresident's Remarks at the United Nations General Assembly
September 12, 2002
http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2002/09/20020912-1.htmlBeyond that, let's look at a few quotes from Bush's mouthpieces -- people who represent the Bush administration in an official capacity -- who did indeed say Saddam and/or Iraq was an "imminent threat," or at the very least agreed with those "exact words" (which are extremely helpful for debunking the claim that "no Whote House official" ever said such a thing):
Some have argued that the nuclear threat from Iraq is not imminent, that Saddam Hussein is at least five to seven years away from having nuclear weapons. I would not be so certain. Before Operation Desert Storm in 1991, the best intelligence estimates were that Iraq was about five to seven years away from having nuclear weapons. The experts were flat wrong. When the U.S. got on the ground, they found that the Iraqis were probably six months to a year to 18 months from having a nuclear weapon, not five to seven years.
Testimony of U.S. Secretary of Defense Donald H. Rumsfeld before the House Armed Services Committee regarding Iraq
September 18, 2002
http://www.defenselink.mil/speeches/2002/s20020918-secdef2.htmlDifferent version of the same testimony at the White House site:
Some have argued that the nuclear threat from Iraq is not imminent—that Saddam is at least 5-7 years away from having nuclear weapons.
I would not be so certain. Before Operation Desert Storm in 1991, the best intelligence estimates were that Iraq was at least 5-7 years away from having nuclear weapons. The experts were flat wrong. When the U.S. got on the ground, it found the Iraqi’s were probably six months to a year away from having a nuclear weapon – not 5 to 7 years. ...
Moreover, let’s say he is 5-7 years from a deliverable nuclear weapon. That raises the question: 5-7 years from when? From today? From 1998, when he kicked out the inspectors? Or from earlier, when inspectors were still in country?
Statement of Donald H. Rumsfeld
U.S. Secretary of Defense
Before the House Armed Services Committee on Iraq
September 18, 2002
http://www.house.gov/hasc/openingstatementsandpressreleases/107thcongress/02-09-18rumsfeld.htmlQUESTION: Ari, the President has been saying that the threat from Iraq is imminent, that we have to act now to disarm the country of its weapons of mass destruction, and that it has to allow the U.N. inspectors in, unfettered, no conditions, so forth.
MR. FLEISCHER: Yes.
Excerpts from the Press Briefings by Ari Fleischer October 16, 2002
http://www.whitehouse.gov/infocus/iraq/excerpts_oct16.htmlBLITZER: But is he (Saddam) an imminent threat to U.S. interests, either in that part of the world or to Americans right here at home?
BARTLETT: Well, of course he is.
White House Communications Director Dan Bartlett
CNN Late Edition With Wolf Blitzer
January 26, 2003
RICHARD PERLE: You know, crown jewels were the jewels in the crown, and you don't give them away because you're giving the crown away, but Saddam has lots of crown jewels, plenty for himself and to distribute to others if he chooses to do so. And the only point I want to make is that as long as Saddam is there, with everything we know about Saddam, as long as he possesses the weapons that we know he possesses, there is a threat, and I believe it's imminent because he could choose at any time to take an action we all very much hope he won't take.
PBS NewsHour
February 12, 2003
http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/middle_east/jan-june03/why_war_2-12.htmlQ Well, we went to war, didn't we, to find these -- because we said that these weapons were a direct and imminent threat to the United States? Isn't that true?
MR. FLEISCHER: Absolutely.
Press Briefing by Ari Fleischer, May 7, 2003
http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2003/05/20030507-7.htmlHere, Scott McClellan is talking about Turkey -- not the United States -- but one must ask, If Saddam is an "imminent threat" to Turkey, doesn't that make him an "imminent threat,"
period?MR. McCLELLAN: Well, what we're focused on -- and, remember, it goes back to what the President said over the weekend. And this is about disarmament. This is about 12 years of deceiving and denying and cheating and retreating and playing hide-and-seek. And those games are over. ...
QUESTION: What about NATO's role? Belgium now says it will veto any attempt to provide help to Turkey to defend itself. Is this something the administration can live with, or is it a major obstacle?
MR. McCLELLAN: Two points. We support the request under Article IV of Turkey. And I think it's important to note that the request from a country under Article IV that faces an imminent threat goes to the very core of the NATO alliance and its purpose.
Press Gaggle by Scott McClellan, February 10, 2003
http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2003/02/20030210-8.htmlFinally, enjoy this little bit of fancy footwork as McClellan tries to sidestep the issue -- this very afternoon, in fact:
Q On the question of Iraq, two issues. First, you've been using the phrase, "gathering threat" and "grave danger," which obviously are words that the President, himself, used many times before the war. You have not used the word "imminent threat." And the essence of Dr. Kay's comments recently would suggest that there was no way for there to be an imminent threat.
Does the President now believe that, in fact, while the threat was gathering, while the threat may have been grave, that, in fact, it was not imminent?
MR. McCLELLAN: I think we've said all along that it was a grave and gathering threat. And that in a post-September 11th world, you must confront gathering threats before it's too late.
I think some in the media have chosen to use the word "imminent." Those were not words --
Q The President himself never used that word?
MR. McCLELLAN: Those were not words we used. We used "grave and gathering threat." We made it very clear that it was a gathering threat, that it's important to confront gathering threats in this post-September 11th world, because of the new dangers and new threats that we face.
Q So then under your interpretation, if you're not using the word "imminent" and the President didn't use it, this was not a preemptive attack, this was a preventative war? Is that the White House position?
MR. McCLELLAN: No, again, September 11th taught us that we must confront gathering threats before it's too late. Saddam Hussein -- Saddam Hussein had ample opportunity to come clean.
Q I hear you, Scott. But there's a definitional difference. "Preemptive" has to do with imminent threats. "Preventative" has to do with non-imminent threats.
MR. McCLELLAN: He was a gathering threat, and it was important that we confront that threat. I don't know that I necessarily agree with your distinctions that you're making there.
Press Briefing by Scott McClellan, January 27, 2004
http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2004/01/20040127-6.htmlIf you'd like more examples, they do exist -- in which Bush calls Iraq an "urgent threat to America," Cheney calls it a "mortal threat," and many, many more.