Is Florida in play again in 2004?

[ALago1]

We all know the debacle that took place in the sunshine state last election season.

Being that it was so close, can you really forsee it swinging way to the right?

If it is in play, which candidate would play well there?

[lastknowngood]

1. not likely Jeb has already guaranteed Florida for the

shrub just as he did in 2000 and he has had longer to corrupt the system.

[lcordero]

2. Nope

It's not in play.
Jebby "won" by half a million votes.

absentee ballot fraud + BBV = Florida is not in play

and I am putting the Veteran's Party in consideration

[camero]

3. I have to agree there

But I'm voting absentee this time out.

[aquart]

4. Please. Jeb is there.

Don't even think about Florida.

[0rganism]

5. No

Forget Florida.

The votes don't get counted there.

[leesa]

6. I imagine it has already been purchased and wrapped with a pretty

bow for the Bush Crime Family.

[pansypoo53219]

7. except

this is a presidential vote AND no lefty or middle of the roader is NOT VOTING. i do not blankly give FL to Bush. anything can happen this time.

[quaker bill]

8. I think it is

I live in Fla. I work and drive through some pretty hardcore Bush* country. I have been seeing "No Bush" signs cropping up in unexpected places. I mean the sort of places where you find pickup trucks flying confederate flags, the stars and stripes, and often both.

Don't overestimate JEB. He only won because his brother was high in the polls and McBride was a weak candidate. JEB also ran against the "class size ammendment" which democrats managed to get on the ballot. It was exactly opposite to the Bush intended policy. It won in 2002.

For a little local politics, the law will force JEB to raise taxes this year. He gave too much away to the rich on a tax cut. Because of this and recent high unemployment, FICA employer contributions will have to be tripled this year. It will put a serious hurt on small business.

Remember as well that thanks to the NAACP suit, all the scrubbed voters were put back on the roles. There is a push for voter verified paper trails. Most counties use optical scan technology which have a paper trail. All of this stuff combined will give the Democrat a +/-150,000 vote edge over Gore to start. (Given we can get them counted, of course) But I think after 2000 the people are on to this and will be looking pretty close.

If we choose well, I give our candidate slightly better than 50:50 odds. If the candidate appears overtly 'liberal' the odds drop substantially.

[dusty64]

9. Were the scrubbed voters

actually put back on the rolls? I've never really heard an answer to that question before.