Have been tracking this election and the parliamentary election in the World Media Watch, as well as the increasing lockdown on the opposition press.
From the current World Media Watch, posted last night in LBN....It all sound eerily familiar....
http://www.themoscowtimes.com/stories/2004/03/01/006.htmlMonday, Mar. 1, 2004. Page 8
OPINION
Russia's Electoral Time Bomb
By Lilia Shevtsova
SNIP
The current round of elections play a qualitatively different role -- they mark the end of Russia's liberal democratic experiment. They are not about development, but about the formalization of the post-Communist system. From now on, it will not be possible to alter the rules of the game, create a party bottom-up, win an election without approval from the authorities or force one's way to the top independently. Provided, of course, that there is not a crisis which forces a reorganization of the whole political system on Russia. In any case, the period of spontaneous development in Russia is over. From now on, the only source of spontaneity will be the unintended consequences of the authorities' own actions.
snip
Electoral manipulation, by creating a gulf between the authorities and the public, and depriving the regime of a true understanding of what's going on in society, undermines the stability and the durability of the system as a whole. But the Kremlin cannot revert to free elections, fearing that the edifice it has painstakingly constructed may come tumbling down in a landslide. Even liberals and democrats, observing the strengthening of nationalist and populist tendencies (incidentally, a trend inspired by the authorities themselves), are forced to ask themselves what would be preferable: free and fair elections that could hand power to Dmitry Rogozin and Vladimir Zhirinovsky, or elections controlled by the bureaucracy?
Putin finds himself in a contradictory position: He is clearly in favor of Westernization, but the electoral farce is forcing his alienation from the West. At the same time, this farce also undermines the stability of his power in the eyes of the Russian public.
What will happen when it becomes manifestly apparent that by renouncing political competition not only is the Kremlin endangering its modernization project but is also undermining stability: Will it choose to abandon elections altogether, a la Turkmenbashi, or will it abandon its attempts to control the outcome of elections?
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Lilia Shevtsova, a senior associate of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, contributed this comment to The Moscow Times.