The three worst scenarios for us this election

[mot78]

1. WMDs could be "found". I don't think this is likely, but I get the feeling that if we actually "find" any in Iraq, it will have the negative effect on us of a thousand Saddam captures.

2. Another terrorist attack, which could bolster *'s approval numbers long enough to create a 1984-style landslide. Nevermind botched intelligance, because you can rely on Limbaugh or Hannity to verbally beat dissenters into submission with the "you're unpatriotic" crap.

3. Bin Laden's "captured", although if * captures today this won't change the outcome of the election, especially if we go into another Orange Alert.

[KuroKensaki]

1. My additions..

4) They stage an assassination attempt on * and say that Al Qaeda did it. Perhaps they tell * ahead of time, and get him to do something "heroic". Perhaps he "saves" a New York Times journalist's life.

But then, if *'s poll numbers keep falling, they may do away with the word 'attempt' in that last paragraph. An assassination and then decisive leadership by the VP in a time of crisis--that'd be an effective October surprise.

I wouldn't put any of it past them.

[mot78]

2. Good addition

[OKNancy]

3. I disagree with #2

I think it would be the worst thing that could happen for Bush. Remember, the Democrats seem to have developed a spine and it would be so easy to say, " See, we told you, he can't keep us safe."

I think a lot of people would say that. I think there would be all sorts of fallout if that happened, including offering a new haven for Al-Queda in Iraq.

Believe me, Bush does NOT want a second attack.

[nostamj]

4. no.............. BUT

he would love to THWART a second attack...

that's the scenerio that could work for him

[mike1963]

5. Yeah and anyone who doubts the cabal is trying to manufacture one is

awfully damn stupid.
:eyes:

[ayeshahaqqiqa]

6. he might

if it gives him an excuse to declare martial law and cancel the election.

[Must_B_Free]

8. Fox is dying to convince people that Al Qaeda did Spain

so, how can people say that it's not good for W?

W's people are the ones selling the whole idea...

[PATRICK]

7. Timing

A use of a plot could be exposed, unravel or just go wrong. The Madrid bombing is just the sort of timely poll confusing incident that if misinterpreted just enough to reach election day would change the vote from what it would have been on both sides of the narrow window. Fortunately, the swift analysis that it was Al Qaeda removed the government's early advantage and is now hours away from election- turning the other way(in a Diebold brokered election).

Should the Right flounder it will not be a great comfort to Bush. And with months of disaffections in his media kennel chorus the spin won't be as favorable or slow on the critique as it has been. Which is why Bush has not taken any time out from campaigning for Madrid, Haiti, S. Korea, ironically making it even harder for him to duck into the busy schedule of the "Rose Garden" with anything less than a monster of a crisis.

Last minute surprise and fingers crossed it will play right? Big monster crisis and hope Bush will get unswerving credit? It is getting later and later in the day from a time when this was presumed to be weak, from when people would timidly go along with the "popularity" of Bush.

And if it goes wrong, they could easily all be charged with treason. I can't imagine the number of witnesses to implanted WMD's could be suppressed long under heat. It has to be under the radar and under the glare of some other climactic event, sort of like frosting or affirmation to Restore the Emperor's raiment.

[goclark]

9. They would be liers @WMD

I would absolutely not believe them if WMD were "found."
They have had all this time to plant anything they want and they could do this too.

Kay said that Bush needs to give it up!

So, if they found them, it would be hard for clear thinking Americans to believe this group of crooks. Don't forget their buddies from Halliburton are over in Iraq with next to nother to do for all the money they are making. Who is watching them play for big pay over there?

[goclark]

10. They would be liers @WMD

I would absolutely not believe them if WMD were "found."
They have had all this time to plant anything they want and they could do this too.

Kay said that Bush needs to give it up!

So, if they found them, it would be hard for clear thinking Americans to believe this group of crooks. Don't forget their buddies from Halliburton are over in Iraq with next to nother to do for all the money they are making. Who is watching them play for big pay over there?

[seabeyond]

11. nope to all three

husband and i talked it this morning

there is a report out that someone saw military in the gulf of iraq pull out cargo of old weapons that can be made into wmd's in the dark of night adn not on a military carrier. so if he does flags will automatically go off

if another attack, then why not hire kerry, cause two attacks on bush watch kerry couldnt do any worse and just reinforces bush isnt worth keeping

and the bin laden arrest has been laid to reat cause everyone is taking bets on it the last couple months in distrust of bush so he has already been tainted on this and will just reinforce that view of him

now that letter that they found in spain, 90% almost finished with a project to create chaos in u.s. and then doesnt happen, bush can say look how good i am.........if kerry was here then they would have been able to execute

[PROGRESSIVE1]

12. Adolf "Hitler" Hannity should do us all a favor and....

DROP DEAD!

Damn Nazi!

:puke:

:mad:

[smirkymonkey]

16. If only!!

:evilgrin:

[patricia92243]

13. I believe almost everyone would think WMD were planted at this late date.

Smart campaigning should say: See, another attack on Bush's watch - he has really tried to keep America safe and here is proof positive that he can't do it.

The Bin Laden thing would probably help him :(

[KuroKensaki]

14. 1984-style landslide

A 1984-style landslide? You referring to St. Ronald of Reagan, or to Big Brother? I think both fit.

[-..__...]

15. I've seen mentioned...

Reagan dying around election time. I'm not certain how profound an effect
that would have, but I certainly could see the GOP exploting it to whip up and renew support from the conservatives that Bush has managed to piss
off.

[smirkymonkey]

17. However, most people

in this country probably think he's already dead, so it won't come as much of a shock. Hell, for all we know, he could be on ice right now waiting for his final encore.