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Anyone else notice how odd these Newsweek poll numbers are?

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lancdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-22-04 03:57 PM
Original message
Anyone else notice how odd these Newsweek poll numbers are?
Bush Kerry Nader undecided
ALL 45 43 5 7
Men 50 41 4 5
Women 42 45 6 7
18-29 years 38 48 7 7
30-49 54 37 5 4
50-64 43 45 6 6
65 & older 35 53 4 8
Republicans 88 8 1 3
Democrats 11 81 4 4
Independents 35 43 12 10

They have Bush ahead 45-43, yet he loses two demographic groups by double digits (18-29 and 65 and older), wins one by double digits and loses the fourth by 2 points. How the hell does he come out ahead? I averaged all those numbers and Bush should have 42.5 and Kerry 45.75. They must've interviewed an inordinate number of 30-49-year-olds to skew the overall percentages.
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tom_paine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-22-04 04:02 PM
Response to Original message
1. In Imperial Amerika, the polls are as worthless as in the Soviet Union
I suppose some of the people specializing now in the Kremlinology of the Imperial Family could deconstruct these "polls" and try to wring the truth out of them, but I prefer to understand that most, if not all, information is suspect in Totalitarian Nations like Amerika.
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NewYorkerfromMass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-22-04 04:05 PM
Response to Original message
2. 30 to 49 is biggest demographic
and we're losing it. Oh, well, Kerry's counter ads run this week so that'll change for the better.
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lancdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-22-04 04:16 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. That's true
It does cover 19 years. Although I am glad to see Kerry kicking butt among seniors, because they're the most loyal voters.
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cally Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-22-04 04:06 PM
Response to Original message
3. Interesting
It doesn't make much sense. Still it's looking good for Kerry. If the negative ads do stop turnout, than the over 65 vote will be important because they vote.
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