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Is it possible that Lieberman is being the smart one here?

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Composed Thinker Donating Member (874 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-04-03 12:44 PM
Original message
Is it possible that Lieberman is being the smart one here?
People like Dean, Gephardt, and Kerry all might have chances of winning New Hampshire and Iowa. But what about the states that come after that, like Arizona, Delaware, Missouri, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and South Carolina? If these states are more conservative, and Lieberman sweeps them, wouldn't that give him a lot of momentum?
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Name removed Donating Member (0 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-04-03 12:52 PM
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1. Deleted message
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Composed Thinker Donating Member (874 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-04-03 12:57 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. What the hell is the difference?
Clearly, my mind is open enough to consider the possibility. It's an interesting point that someone made to me. I haven't seen it here, so I thought I'd bring it up.
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ShaneGR Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-04-03 12:58 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. There is a big difference
You never make statements. You just ask questions and sometimes those questions are, shall we say, rather transparent.
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Composed Thinker Donating Member (874 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-04-03 01:04 PM
Response to Reply #4
8. I make statements, but my threads are usually questions
And I am not transparent.
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bearfartinthewoods Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-04-03 01:18 PM
Response to Reply #4
12. oh...questions are bad things
....only among those with closed minds
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Name removed Donating Member (0 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-04-03 01:22 PM
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13. Deleted message
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ryharrin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-04-03 01:03 PM
Response to Reply #1
7. I don't know, questions are a good tool to start discussion.
Now, I haven't seen too many of this person's posts, so maybe they do have an agenda without wanting to show it, but I'll take the question on face value for now.

I don't think Lieberman is being too smart by focusing on the later primaries. I was under the impression that they are all about momentum. I see three possibilities after Iowa/NH-

1. Dean wins both. He's leading in some polls in both states. At very least he's competitive. If that happens I think his momentum will be very difficult to overcome and will glide to the nomination.

2. Kerry wins NH, and Gephardt wins Iowa. Dean falls behind and neither Kerry now Gephardt gets too much momentum. This is the best for Lieberman, but I still think he'll have a very tough time, especially if his polling numbers keep dropping.

3. Dean splits NH and Iowa. I think then Dean will have to fight for the nomination the whole way, but will still be the clear frontrunner.
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Composed Thinker Donating Member (874 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-04-03 01:05 PM
Response to Reply #7
9. Those possibilities make sense
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maggrwaggr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-04-03 12:52 PM
Response to Original message
2. No. he's Jewish. He'll do terrible in those states
And the worst thing in the world is that he could somehow win the Dem nomination.

I, for one, would seriously consider abstaining from voting altogether if Lieberman were the nominee.
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cjbuchanan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-04-03 01:01 PM
Response to Original message
5. If he loses big time in the first two
It will make him look real bad. People will wonder why he, the former VP nom, could not do better.

He might be able to pull it off, but I don't think so. He has been to Iowa and N.H., so he cannot say he sat them out like McCain did in Iowa. He will also be hurt by lack of money. Some money people are already worried about him, a bad showing will not help him out.

Just my thoughts.
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cjbuchanan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-04-03 01:02 PM
Response to Original message
6. If he loses big time in the first two
It will make him look real bad. People will wonder why he, the former VP nom, could not do better.

He might be able to pull it off, but I don't think so. He has been to Iowa and N.H., so he cannot say he sat them out like McCain did in Iowa. He will also be hurt by lack of money. Some money people are already worried about him, a bad showing will not help him out.

Just my thoughts.
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nothingshocksmeanymore Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-04-03 01:07 PM
Response to Original message
10. How is he polling in those states? Do you know?
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oasis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-04-03 01:17 PM
Response to Original message
11. Joe's smart all right. He's saving Rove the trouble of trashing Dems.
:mad:
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