For those of you who have heard about the FEC seeking to ban "Fahrenheit 9/11" ads on TV and radio after July 30, please be advised that while this is a serious abuse of power that should be investigated, it will not hurt the movie.
It is very rare for a movie studio to spend any money on broacast advertising past the 2nd week or 3rd week of the movie. Since no one knows how long a movie will be in theaters studios almost always plan their broadcast advertising budgets through the first couple weeks, in most cases ending after opening weekend. In some cases a studio will invest in a modest broadcast campaign in the later weeks, but that is very rare. Also most public relations (interviews, TV/Radio appearances) activities cease on opening weekend as well, but I am sure Michael Moore will be doing interviews throughout.
The only marketing that is a certainty throughout a movie's first run life is the newspaper advertising, again though in most cases after the first few weeks that budget is often slashed with display (co-op) ads not running 7 days a week but just Fridays or Fri-Sun. Understand that after the first few weeks (after the studios make their money back) the majority of films are driven by word of mouth. Also in later weeks (however F9/11 may be an exception) the number of theaters carrying the film would not justify an ambitious broadcast campaign.
Given the subject matter and timeliness of the film it is highly probably that the studio would seek to run broadcast ads during the conventions and leading up to the elections, so the FEC's ban should still concern the studio but it is not going to kill the film by any stretch of the imagination.
‘Fahrenheit 9/11’ ban?
Ads for Moore’s movie could be stopped on July 30
By Alexander Bolton
Michael Moore may be prevented from advertising his controversial new movie, “Fahrenheit 9/11,” on television or radio after July 30 if the Federal Election Commission (FEC) today accepts the legal advice of its general counsel.
At the same time, a Republican-allied 527 soft-money group is preparing to file a complaint against Moore’s film with the FEC for violating campaign-finance law.
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http://www.thehill.com/news/062404/moore.aspxBackground: I am an entertainment publicist and spent my first 6 years working exclusively in the film industry.