Who is going to win the D.C. Primary?

[ErasureAcer]

D.C. is a pretty liberal place...and it is the first primary or caucus across the nation....which candidate will eventually win? Does Sharpton stand a chance? Or Kucinich...or will Dean start out of the gate early...

anyone have a clue? or do I have to wait?

[shockandawed]

1. does it matter

I mean, they dont count in DC anyway do they, due to electoral college exclusion? And of course DC will support Sharpton, Dean and Kerry. I mean shit, why not pay attention to Dean's poll numbers in Canada. They have as many electoral votes as DC. Am I wrong?

[goobergunch]

3. DC has 3 electoral votes...

and they have several convention delegates.

[ErasureAcer]

4. yes it does matter...they're the first one up

they may not have many delegates...but they will definitely send a message...

[ISUGRADIA]

5. DC has had electoral votes since 1964

has always been 3, plus it had 33 delegates to the Dem Convention in 2000, more than WY (18), VY (22), SD (22), MT (24) to name a few states. I couldn't find delegate numbers for 2004.

I'd bet on a Sharpton win in DC.

[goobergunch]

Sharpton IMHO (n/t)

[goobergunch]

2. dupe (n/t)

[Renew Deal]

6. No delegates

I found this at Dailykos.


DC primary getting early attention
When DC announced its first-in-the-nation primary on January 13 (four days before Iowa), DNC leaders went ballistic. Denizens of Iowa and NH believe they have a God-given right to hold the first caucus and primary of the season, respectively, and party leaders and candidates have been too scared to challenge that ridiculous notion.

After the DNC threatened to exclude DC's delegates from the convention, the district found a workaround -- the primary would be a non-binding plebiscite, and will select no delegates. The District will hold caucuses later in the campaign season to actually select its delegates.

So essentially it's a primary that doesn't count.

But what about the candidates? CW is that Iowans and Granite Staters would be furious if candidates lavished attention on DC, and could retaliate at the ballot box.

But the notion of an early victory heading seems to be driving candidate strategies, and Dean, Kerry, Gephardt and Edwards have all been wooing the District's councilmembers seeking endorsements.

Dean seems to be getting all the early attention and endorsements, though I'm still curious to see if there might be any backlash in Iowa and NH. If not, this could step one in stripping those two states of their early preferred status, and moving to a system that is more equitable to other states.

http://www.dailykos.com/archives/003757.html

[tameszu]

7. They're liberal, but not that liberal...I don't know if anyone is

I would guess either Dean or Kerry.