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so I've been around for a lot of elections.
I think that the Reagan democrats were people who had been for FDR because they were either in bad financial straights (which most people were at that time) or discriminated against because of their ethnicity (Irish, Greek, Polish, Italian) or their religion (Catholic or Jewish).
By 1980 their ethnic groups and religions were no longer suffering discrimination. They were also middle class. They saw themselves as macho people who had "made it on their own." They bought into the idea that the Democrats were sissies who were giving their hard-earned tax dollars to welfare queens.
Now, Dean is nothing if not macho, so they can support him without being seen as a sissy. Also he is promising to balance the budget which means that their social security and medicare will be safe and these people are getting close to the age where they will need these benefits.
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