A List of papers analysing 00, 02, and 04 voting & exit poll results

[papau]

The 2004 Presidential Election: Who Won The Popular Vote? An Examination of the Comparative Validity of Exit Poll and Vote Count Data
Jonathan D. Simon and Ron P. Baiman provide analysis on the on-going exit poll controversy. They argue that the discrepancy between the national exit poll and the popular vote count is so far outside the margin of error that it can only be explained by fraud.
http://freepress.org/images/departments/PopularVotePaper181_1.pdf


A Critique of the Berkeley Voting Study
In this paper, Michael McDonald of George Mason University, Alan Abramowitz at Emory University, Dr. Ben Highton at University of California at Davis, and Ben Bishin at the University of Miami provide a critique of "Effect of Electronic Voting Machines on Change in Support for Bush in the 2004 Florida Elections".
http://elections.gmu.edu/Berkeley.html

A Partial Critique of Hout, Mangels, Carlson and Best
In this paper, B. D. McCullough of Drexel University and Florenz Plassmann of SUNY Binghamton provide a partial critique of "Effect of Electronic Voting Machines on Change in Support for Bush in the 2004 Florida Elections".
http://election04.ssrc.org/research/critique-of-hmcb.pdf

The Unexplained Exit Poll Discrepancy
Prepared by Steven Freeman, Visiting Scholar and Affiliated Faculty in the Center for Organizational Dynamics, University of Pennsylvania, this paper takes a look at the discrepancies between exit polls and final vote tallies in the 2004 presidential elections. This study was released on November 10, 2004.
Original version of the study was published on November 10, 2004. http://election04.ssrc.org/research/11_10,unexplained_exit-poll.pdf
http://election04.ssrc.org/research/preserving_democracy.pdf

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
This paper provides statistical analysis of the differences in election results between Florida counties that used optical scan machines and those that used e-voting machines. The paper includes a comparison between the 2004 election results with those of the 2000 election.
http://www.stat.columbia.edu/%7Ecook/movabletype/archives/2004/11/vote_swings_in.html

Effect of Electronic Voting Machines on Change in Support for Bush in the 2004 Florida Elections
This working paper looks at how electronic voting may have produced a discrepancy between voters' intentions and tabulations of the election's outcome in the 2004 presidential race. Performing a regression analysis of voting patterns across counties, the paper claims that irregularities associated with electronic voting may have awarded excess votes to George Bush. This study was carried out by Michael Hout, Laura Mangels, Jennifer Carlson, and Rachel Best at the University of California, Berkeley.
Original version of the study does not contain appendices responding to early criticism. http://ucdata.berkeley.edu/new_web/VOTE2004/election04_WP.pdf
http://ucdata.berkeley.edu/new_web/VOTE2004/election04_WPwappendices.pdf

The 2004 Presidential Election and the Electoral College: How the Results Debunk Some Defenses of the Current System
University of California Hastings College of the Law Professor and FindLaw columnist Vikram David Amar uses the results and controversies of the 2004 election as a starting point for critiquing the Electoral College system as it currently exists in the United States.
http://writ.corporate.findlaw.com/amar/20041112.html

Voting Machines and the Underestimate of the Bush Vote
Released on November 11, 2004 this report from the Caltech/MIT Voting Technology Project examines claims regarding fraud in the 2004 election based on discrepancies between exit poll results and the presidential vote in certain states.
http://www.vote.caltech.edu/Reports/VotingMachines3.pdf

On The Discrepancy Between Party Registration and Presidential Vote in Florida
The Caltech/MIT Voting Technology Project examines partisan voter registration statistics and the Bush-Kerry vote in Florida counties in this November 10, 2004 report.
http://www.vote.caltech.edu/Reports/Florida_discrepancy3.pdf

2004 Election Anomalies in Florida
Was There a Major Panhandle Democrat Defection?
Dale Trexel, a University of Minnesota graduate student, examines the counties in Florida where political party registration was divergent with Presidential vote results.
http://www.socsci.umn.edu/~trex0003/FL2004.html

Bullying of America
(manuscript under review: do not cite or distribute without explicit permission from author)
In this working paper, University of Florida law Professor Diane H. Mazur examines absentee voting by service members in Florida during the 2000 election and the congressional effort toward military voting reform that followed.
http://election04.ssrc.org/data/bullying_of_america.pdf


Processes Can Improve Electronic Voting: A Case Study of An Election
In this October 2004 working paper, Caltech/MIT Voting Technology Project member Ted Selker reviews the implementation of electronic voting systems in the September 7, 2004 elections in Reno/Sparks, Nevada.
http://www.vote.caltech.edu/Reports/vtp_wp17.pdf

The Case of the Diebold FTP Site
Douglas Jones analyzes the Diebold voting machines and the controversies surrounding them.
http://www.cs.uiowa.edu/~jones/voting/dieboldftp.html

Democracy Spoiled: National, State, and County Disparities in Disfranchisement Through Uncounted Ballots.
Harvard University's Civil Rights Project produced this study which analyzes the number of uncounted ballots in the 2000 election by state and county.
http://www.civilrightsproject.harvard.edu/research/electoral_reform/ResidualBallot.pdf

Eliminating Barriers to Voting: Election Day Registration.
This report summarizes the findings of a conference co-sponsored by the Brennan Center for Justice at NYU School of Law and Demos - A Network for Ideas and Action that explored the impact and administration of Election Day Registration.
http://www.brennancenter.org/resources/downloads/EDR_report_113001.pdf

Voting: What Is, What Could Be
This October 2001 report from the Caltech/MIT Voting Technology Project assesses the magnitude of the problems encountered in the 2000 presidential elections, attempts to identify their root causes, and offers recommendations for how technology can reduce them.
http://www.vote.caltech.edu/Reports/july01/July01_VTP_%20Voting_Report_Entire.pdf

Counting all the Votes: The Performance of Voting Technology in the United States
Henry Brady, Justin Buchler, Matt Jarvis and John McNulty provide analysis of different voting systems to identify which have the lowest rates of residual votes. The paper compares direct record electronic (DRE), lever machine, optical scan, paper ballot and punchcard systems.
http://macht.arts.cornell.edu/wrm1/countingallthevotes.pdf

[DELUSIONAL]

1. kick

Thanks for the list and links

[papau]

2. I am waiting for the 90 day wait to be up and we get the exit poll analysi

that was promised by our exit poll taker.

:-)

[DeepModem Mom]

3. Thanks, papau!