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SS question - didn't the boomers have any children?

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Vinca Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-13-05 12:38 PM
Original message
SS question - didn't the boomers have any children?
The premise of social security being underfunded seems to center around the fact there are too few people in the generation after the baby boomers to finance the program. That's what they say, but how can that be? Did that many boomers decide to remain childless? How can this huge generation of people have produced fewer people for the work force than are already in it? Isn't it more likely that so many good paying jobs have been outsourced, the next generation is making a lower wage and, therefore, the percentage they contribute amounts to less money? Can anyone 'splain this to me??
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CO Liberal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-13-05 12:42 PM
Response to Original message
1. My Parents Had Three Children
My older sister and I both had two. My younger sister never married.

My two oldest friends (known them both since the mid-60s) are both childless. And I know many other people my age that only had one child.

So on average (based on what I see around me), I believe that the birth rate is falling. Plus, Roe v. Wade probably had an effect on the total number of births as well.
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illflem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-13-05 12:43 PM
Response to Original message
2. People are living longer also adds to the problem
Boomer children are just entering the work force.
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Riding this Donkey Donating Member (658 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-13-05 01:37 PM
Response to Reply #2
19. I don't think boomer children are "just entering the workforce"
My parents were boomers and I have been working for 25 years.
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papau Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-13-05 05:32 PM
Response to Reply #19
26. True - but demongraphics is not a problem - despite GOP/Medias lies saying
that it is a problem.

We will get to a worker/retiree ration of 2 to 1

BUT GUESS WHAT - IT IS NOT A PROBLEM

That fact is already in the projections that show Soc Sec is good with NO CHANGE for the next 100 years if you use a reasonable productivity/GDP growth assumption (the current 1.6/1.8 productivity and GDP growth assumption are close to 1/2 of historical - and way below the assumptions use by Bush when projects the value of private accounts)

With reasonable assumptions Soc Sec is good for the next 100 years - despite the - and after reflecting the - lower 2 to 1 worker to retiree ratio of the future.

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Riding this Donkey Donating Member (658 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-13-05 05:43 PM
Response to Reply #26
30. I couldn't agree more...
just wanted to point out that I have been paying for 25 years and this *hole(bush) wants me to give up what I have put in and to gamble my retirement on wall street.
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bush_is_wacko Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-14-05 08:54 PM
Response to Reply #19
33. However, a lot of boomer's chose to nurture careers first and have children
later. I know several families that fit this description. I am almost forty and many of my parents contemporaries have children that are the same age as my children. Some of them have toddlers and infants! My generation has done the same and some of us NEVER want children. It is true to some extent that baby boomer's children are not yet or just beginning to pay into the system I have seen the proof with my own eyes.

To be honest I can't imagine the prospect of raising an infant at MY age, let alone at my parents age!

I am seeing light at the end of the tunnel. My husband and I will be able to be alone again in only a few short years!
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LiberallyInclined Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-13-05 12:44 PM
Response to Original message
3. people used to have HUGE families...
how many families do you know today with 5 or more children?
personally, i don't know any.
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ultraist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-13-05 12:45 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. exactly, small families are more common now (1.9 kids)
Edited on Sun Feb-13-05 12:53 PM by ultraist
Age group
Under 10 estimated based on year end 2004 total population

Age in 2005
Under 10 32,794,908 11.00%
10 to 20 41,077,577 14.60%
20 something 39,183,891 13.92%
30 something 39,891,724 14.18%
40 something 45,148,527 16.04%
50 something 37,677,952 13.39%
60 something 24,274,684 8.63%
70 something 18,390,986 6.54%
80 and over 16,600,767 5.90%
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sickinohio Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-13-05 12:45 PM
Response to Original message
5. I'm a boomer and I had 3 children. All the boomers that I
grew up with had at least 2 children or more. Of my three children, one has 2 children, one has three with the fourth on the way and the third child has 0 and does not plan to have any children. Of the boomers that I grew up with each of their 2 children or more have at least 2 children or more each. So, go figure - seems like enough boomers had enough children to suport SS to me (at least from my little world)

:shrug:
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Freddie Stubbs Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-13-05 01:13 PM
Response to Reply #5
13. Three workers for every two retirees is not a very good ratio
Many European nations will be facing a severe economic crisis because of a very low birth rate. The one advantage that we have is a large number of immigrants. Those immigrants work, and they also tend to have larger families.
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sickinohio Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-13-05 01:19 PM
Response to Reply #13
15. Guess you are right - I'm not good a numbers
but, what happens to all the money I've paid into SS? Since I am just under the "55" age limit that Bu$hCo suggests their SS won't be affected? Does this mean that when I retire (if I ever get to retire) I won't be drawing any of the SS benefits that I have paid into since the age of 16?
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Igel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-13-05 05:42 PM
Response to Reply #15
29. It's a spend-as-you-go plan.
The money you paid in supported retirees at time time, until a decade or so ago. Then we started paying in more than they could spend; it was promptly diverted for deficits.

In fact, I forget if it was in the '80s or '90s, FICA used to be "off the books", i.e., its income and expenses weren't reflected in the government's budget. With that accounting, borrowing from SS shows up as part of the deficit. After they SS into the overall budget any borrowing by the general budget borrow from SS is invisible.
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LiberallyInclined Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-13-05 01:19 PM
Response to Reply #5
14. back when SS was started- families were MUCH larger...
many times there were 5-9 kids each having 5-9 kids of their own...and they generally started having them younger, too.
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Freddie Stubbs Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-13-05 05:28 PM
Response to Reply #14
25. And people didn't live as long
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CountAllVotes Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-13-05 12:46 PM
Response to Original message
6. 3 kids in my family
One is now 51. The other died at the age of 43. I am inbetween.

Of the three of us, only one has a child. So, three kids and one offspring.

I do not know how common this is. However, I for one do not regret not having any children as there is no way that I could afford to take care of them. I realized this in my early 20s luckily.

:kick:
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Warren Stupidity Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-13-05 12:46 PM
Response to Original message
7. they did have kids and there is an echo-boom
but in-between is a bit of a U-shaped valley.
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cestpaspossible Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-13-05 12:47 PM
Response to Original message
8. Not as many as their parents did
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ultraist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-13-05 12:52 PM
Response to Reply #8
9. 3.8 children vs. 1.9 children today
"Baby boomers have dominated American culture for nearly five decades. Likened by demographers to a pig moving through a python, boomers account for one-third of Americans 80.6 million of the 250 million U.S. residents. They are the children born during the baby boom of 1946-1964, the offspring of women who had more children than those in either the generation before or after them. In 1946, for example, the first of the baby boom years, 19 percent more babies were born than a year earlier. During several of these years the birthrate approached 120 births per thousand women, compared to 67.2 in 1988. At its peak in 1957, mothers of baby boomers had 3.8 children, in contrast to just 1.9 children today. And of course, in the business world, the boomer birth explosion has been a retailer's fantasy, an absolute windfall."

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1monster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-13-05 01:01 PM
Response to Reply #8
11. No, but there were more of us to have children, so while the birthrate
per person may have been reduced, there were more of us having children. Plus the population of this country has not decreased in any way, shape, or form since I was a child.

Our schools are over crowded in much the same way as they were in the early days of the baby boom. In the last five years, I've seen schools that were built for 1500 students be insufficient in size the first year they were built and have over 2500 students in the second year.

Fears of having zero population growth or even insufficient population growth in this country are severly over rated.
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illflem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-13-05 01:28 PM
Response to Reply #11
17. My understanding is we would have reached
zero population growth over ten years ago if it wasn't for immigrants and their larger families.
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forgethell Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-13-05 12:54 PM
Response to Original message
10. They didn't reproduce
at the replacement rate, which is, I believe, 2.1 children per woman, to make up for early deaths.

Many women did decide to remain childless, or perhaps, didn't have a chance to have children.
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yorkiemommie1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-13-05 01:05 PM
Response to Original message
12. i had one
among my two of my siblings are single, one ( the religious freeper, of course ) has two.

my 11 closest boomer cousins produced four children and an adopted one.

i think this is unusual for us for a number of reasons... hawaiian born asians with very Catholic background.
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Withywindle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-13-05 01:21 PM
Response to Original message
16. Born in '69 to Boomer parents, only child here
My parents didn't replace themselves. I have no children and don't plan to. My dad has one sister, she only had one child, that child, now 30, doesn't want children either. (My mother's side of the family is much more prolific, but they're not American so I don't know how relevant they are to this discussion; for that matter, can I even call her a "Boomer" since her country didn't participate significantly in WWII, hence no "post-war baby boom")

Anecdotal, but I do remember 10 years ago when we "Gen-Xers" were the focus of much smarmy media bloviating, they kept pointing out how relatively few of us there were. I think part of it is not that Baby Boomers didn't breed as much, they just did it later in life. My parents were in their early 20s when they had me, which I understand was not the trend. The 80s and early 90s were when the Boomers, then in their 30s and early 40s, started getting crazy for babies.

So the children of Boomers exist, they just tend to have a wider decade-spread between them and their parents.


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American Tragedy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-13-05 02:13 PM
Response to Reply #16
22. You make an excellent point. Born in '83 to boomer parents.
Very authentic boomers, too. My father was drafted in '69, and I saw the Woodstock tape too many times to count. :D
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RetroLounge Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-13-05 01:31 PM
Response to Original message
18. My G-parents had 2. My parents had three.
We kids each have 2.

Smaller families.

To contrast, my G-Grandparents had 13 kids.

RL
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idiosyncratic Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-13-05 02:00 PM
Response to Original message
20. I had none. My sister's only child died . . . eom
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hickman1937 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-13-05 02:07 PM
Response to Original message
21. I'm a boomer. I have 5 brothers and sisters.
Between us we have 9 kids. All of which is beside the point. Most of the money boomers have paid into SS has been stolen by our government to pay for other things. If the money had been left alone it would have been there for everyone.
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scarletlib Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-13-05 02:18 PM
Response to Original message
23. yes we did have children
maybe families weren't as large as in the past. So many boomers had kids in the 70's that there was a generation of kids known as the 'echo boom'. The number of kids born at that time went up.

Don't be concerned about the worker to retiree ratio. This is another one of those myths that has been circulating since the late 50', early 60's and it hasn't been true. (See the many Krugman articles on Social Security)

Finally as a boomer I just want to let the repukes know that the cute little floater they sent up of letting all people over 55 keep all their benefits in the Social Security program will not induce me to accept this lamebrain privatization scheme. I am a boomer 55 yrs but I have 2 children and grandchildren who would be screwed by this plan. I oppose privatization.
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BornaDem Donating Member (225 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-13-05 02:22 PM
Response to Original message
24. After the 60's and the birth control pill, the number of children...
I believe dropped to or below the replacement # (2 kids for 2 parents became 1.8 or something like that) and that # was from stats I saw a long time ago. Same thing happened in all western countries following reliable birth control.

I think that is only one of the SS problems (fewer people in the work force to support more retirees.)
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Bridget Burke Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-13-05 05:37 PM
Response to Reply #24
28. So, do you think Bush has the solution for the SS "problems"?
Or do you think his private accounts are the wrong thing to do?
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bush_is_wacko Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-13-05 05:36 PM
Response to Original message
27. The wage issue is a very valid issue IMO, but I think it is more like
Baby Boomer's didn't have AS MANY children as their parents AND they waited to have them later in life, thus, their children aren't all even in the system and paying into SS yet. I can honestly say, I know SEVERAL baby boomer families that fit this description. My aunt, both her brother's, and her sister, all have kids either the same age or YOUNGER than my kids and they are the same age as my parents. I am almost 40, my kids are 15 and 11. Some of them have INFANTS at age 50-60.

That explains are large number of them from what I can tell. Careers were nurtured and fortunes built BEFORE they decided to have kids.

My generation is going to be even worse from what I can tell. MANY of us have chosen NEVER to have kids. Some for moral reasons' (the earth is a terrible place to raise a child) and others because they simply don't want to be tied down, ever! they don't even want to own a cat or dog. A child is incomprehensible to them and I really don't see them ever changing their minds.
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freethought Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-13-05 05:57 PM
Response to Original message
31. Sure they had children!
The children of the Baby Boomers are Generation X and the Echo Boomers.
The only thing was that the Baby Boomers had fewer children than their parents did. Familie used to have 4-5 kids. The baby boomers trimmed that down to about 1 to 2.
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cmd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-13-05 06:04 PM
Response to Original message
32. The "Pill"
gave families more control over the size of their families.
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