New Dem Candidate Gallup Poll

[reachout]

Apologies if I missed this being posted already.

It is defintely still a horse race. Perhaps more so with Clark in the mix.


http://www.gallup.com/poll/releases/pr030915.asp


Some interesting (to me) highlights:


The poll shows that Clark's candidacy would draw support from all of the four other major candidates, but that Kerry would probably be most affected. The Massachusetts Senator receives 12% of the vote with Clark in the running, but 15% with Clark not a candidate. Dean loses two percentage points to Clark, while Lieberman and Gephardt each lose one point.


Among liberals, Dean receives 29% support, compared with 11% among moderates and 6% among conservatives.

Kerry also receives little support among conservative Democrats (7%), but does about equally well among moderates (15%) and liberals (13%).
The other three top candidates receive about the same percentage of the vote from each group.

Kerry and Clark fare especially well among people who follow national politics very closely, with both candidates' support falling dramatically among people who are not paying attention.

Lieberman, by contrast, receives much more support from the inattentive voters than among the more attentive ones.

[Evil_Dewers]

1. LIEberman receives support from

idiots who don't know he's a Republican in Democratic clothing.

Are there any LIEberman supporters here?

[Brucey]

2. The point about Kerry and Clark

getting support from those who follow politics, is interesting, because of course delegates to the convention follow politics, and caucuses are mostly attended by people who follow politics. Primaries, however, tend to be won by name recognition and advertising (and buzz). It's getting interesting. For me, I hope the nominee is not Gep. I think he would do the worst nationally compared to Dean, Kerry, Clark, or even Kucinich.

[pansypoo53219]

3. Gep

may do well in Iowa(a close state), but he is not gonna do well. i hate to be Seinfeldian, but NO EYEBROWS will be an issue. That and he would be very annoying.

[WhoCountsTheVotes]

4. I'd take Gephardt over Dean, Kerry, or Lieberman

Gephardt not only has strong national union support, but he can bring a lot of electoral votes with him on the ticket. He's a strong progressive populist, and that's what America wants right now.

[WhoCountsTheVotes]

5. Gephardt is the front runner, how about Gephardt/Clark?

o Clark is in first place among men, receiving 16% support, but ties for sixth place among women with just 5% of their vote.
o Gephardt receives much greater support from women (21%) than from men (12%).

Gephardt/Clark would be a winner of a ticket :)